The article written below is for the 2017 AT&T Byron Nelson. For the AT&T Byron Nelson PGA Expert Picks piece, click here.
Look, predicting a pre-tournament Sportsbook in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.
Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the AT&T Byron Nelson Championship.
For a full breakdown of the tournament, click here.
Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.
Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Koepka is well known as a perennial threat in PGA Tour circles, but he’s far from a household name yet. That doesn’t mean sports bettors should overlook him, though. The American came agonizingly close to winning this tournament a year ago before eventually losing to Sergio Garcia in a playoff, so the desire to get back in the Sportsbook’s circle is there.
Koepka is in solid form after finishing 16th or better in each of his last four starts, and he’s clearly comfortable at the course. This is the last year the AT&T Byron Nelson will be played at TPC Four Seasons, so get on him now before the event shifts to Dallas in 2017.
Jason Dufner (+3500)
The last time I picked Dufner in one of these articles, he completely collapsed while holding the lead on the final day of the RBC Heritage, so you’d think I’d learn from my mistakes. Well, I’m willing to forgive and forget and trust him again in Texas.
Since 2011, the Duff Man has three finishes inside the top 10 here, including a win in 2012. He looked to be falling off a bit in 2016, however he’s since made 10 cuts in a row and is experiencing a resurgence at the age of 40. He’s a tad undervalued at +3500, in my opinion, so bank on his recent hot play continuing.
Bud Cauley (+4000)
Another player who’s not normally in the spotlight, Cauley has finished in the top 10 in each of his last three starts — at the RBC Heritage, the Texas Open and the Zurich Classic. Cauley pulled off a fourth-place finish at the AT&T Byron Nelson last year, and I don’t think it’s unrealistic to see him high on the leaderboard come Sunday.