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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Open Championship

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the third major of the year, the Open Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, click here.

Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Adam Scott +2800

Unlike me, Scott is nearly flawless with his iron play and that alone makes him a threat week in and week out. The Aussie has been around for a long time and has proven himself to have what it takes to be a major champion after triumphing at the Masters in 2013. He came extremely close at the Open in 2012, finishing as the runner-up behind Ernie Els.

Scott is No. 31 in strokes gained off the tee and No. 15 in approach shots this season. If he can hit fairways frequently, it’s going to be smooth sailing to the green. No stage is too big for this guy, and experience can never be undervalued at this tournament.

Phil Mickelson +4000

I’ll admit it: I have a soft spot for Mickelson but I’m not letting my personal bias get in the way of this pick. “Lefty” didn’t participate in the U.S. Open due to his daughter’s high school graduation, which means he’ll be even more hungry to prevail in England after coming up just short in an unforgettable Sunday shootout with Henrik Stenson.

At the age of 47, Mickelson is one of the elder statesmen on the PGA Tour but he seems to be getting better with age at the Open. After winning the whole thing in 2013, he’s placed T-23, T-20 and second since then. Father Time won’t get in the way of Mickelson, and that’s why he’s a great pick at +4000.

Matt Kuchar (+5000)

If you haven’t noticed, first-time major winners are all the rage these days. Jason Day, Danny Willett, Dustin Johnson, Henrik Stenson, Jimmy Walker, Sergio Garcia and Brooks Koepka comprise a list of seven straight men who have won one of golf’s premier events heading into the Open. It’s a bit of a long shot, but it’s not out of the realm of possibility for Kuchar to join that list.

Kuchar played well last week at the Scottish Open and he’s been in great form over the last few months. He’s never been known as a perennial Open threat, but his game is tailored well for Royal Birkdale Golf Club.