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Expert PGA Betting Picks: PGA Championship

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the final major of the year, the PGA Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, click here.

Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Rory McIlroy (+600)

Look, I know I’m not going out on a limb by taking the favorite here, but McIlroy’s past success at Quail Hollow is undeniable. The Northern Irishman has produced top-five finishes at the Open Championship and the WGC-Bridgestone in his last two starts and has two wins and six top-10s in seven starts at this golf course.

He set the course record in 2015 with a sizzling round of 61 and won by a ridiculous seven strokes. Any concerns about Rory changing caddies are in the past now; he’s in prime form to win his third PGA Championship.

Daniel Berger (+5000)

Very quietly, Berger has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour of late. The 24-year-old finished T-17 at Quail Hollow last year and looked very comfortable in his surroundings. It’s only a matter of time before the No. 19-ranked golfer in the world breaks through and adds a major to his resume on golf’s biggest stage.

If you’re backing players based on their current form, he’s a must-bet. Berger has three top-five finishes and a win in his last six starts. Oddsmakers clearly haven’t caught on yet, so take the +5000 value and run.

Zach Johnson (+6600)

Another player who’s being severely undervalued, Johnson is playing his best golf in years after posting a T-5, T-14 and a second-place finish in his last three tournaments. Quail Hollow is a course that normally rewards big hitters off the tee and Johnson isn’t going to blow anyone away with his long driving prowess, but he’s fared well at similar tracks before (Augusta and St. Andrews come to mind).

The Iowa native absolutely loves Quail Hollow, as he’s notched three T-15s at the course and hasn’t missed a cut there in over a decade. That’s good enough for me.

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