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Expert PGA Betting Picks: BMW Championship

Francesco Molinari of Italy talks with caddie Pello Iguaran on the 18th tee during the first round of the 2018 PGA Championship at Bellerive Country Club on August 9, 2018 in St Louis, Missouri.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the BMW Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Francesco Molinari +2800

I may have a soft spot for Molinari after picking him to win the British Open at 33/1, but the Italian Stallion has a chance to win any event he’s playing in right now, and he’s fresh after sitting out of last week’s Dell Technologies Championship for some well-deserved rest.

Molinari slipped only one spot to 14th in the FedExCup points race after sitting out. The 35-year-old is a three-time winner since May while also collecting two runner-up finishes and a T-6. The 2017-18 season has served as his coming-out party, and a playoff victory would be an excellent way to cap it off.

My second favorite pick: Hideki Matsuyama +3300

Matsuyama is a streaky player, and he’s peaking at the perfect time right now ahead of the third leg of the FedExCup playoffs. Matsuyama, who’s available for a price of +3300, posted a T-11 at Sedgefield and has added a T-11 at Ridgewood.

A playoff win could be on the horizon for Matsuyama after a personal-best T-4 showing at the Dell Technologies Championship, and his game fits Aronimink Golf Club perfectly. He’s not the player he was a few years ago, but he’s still got plenty of talent to get the job done despite the tough field.

My third favorite pick: Rafael Cabrera Bello +10000

Cabrera Bello is consistently slept on when it comes to golf betting, yet seasoned bettors and DFS players are well aware of his penchant for producing when no one expects him to.

The Spaniard led the field at TPC Boston in greens in regulation and notched a T-7 showing with four rounds in the sub-70s. Cabrera Bello ranks seventh on the tour in GIR and 19th in strokes gained: tee-to-green while collecting four top-20s in his last five starts. He’s too good to be priced at +10000.

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