Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.
Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Travelers Championship.
For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.
Odds courtesy of Bovada
My favorite pick: Daniel Berger +2800
Berger has already won twice in his young PGA Tour career, but both of those triumphs have come at the FedEx St. Jude Classic, in 2016 and 2017. He’s been on an absolute tear lately, however, so don’t be surprised if the American puts another win in the column soon.
Berger notched a T-6 finish last weekend at the extremely tough Shinnecock Hills and even shared the 54-hole lead entering the final round. If Berger can handle Shinnecock, he shouldn’t have any issue taming the much easier TPC River Highlands – a course he’s had success at in the past. The 25-year-old lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth here last year and collected a T-5 in 2016 with a scoring average of 67.13.
Solid value: Charley Hoffman +4000
Hoffman is as consistent as they come on the tour when it comes to hanging around the leaderboard late in tournaments, and because the 2018 Travelers features eight of the top 15 players in the world rankings, he’s available for a nice price of +4000 due to the big names ahead of him on the oddsboard.
Like Berger, Hoffman is also in great form, and three top-10s in his last five starts is proof of that. The California native is fresh off a T-20 at the U.S. Open – his fifth top-25 in the last six majors.
My favorite sleeper pick: Aaron Baddeley +15000
Baddeley won’t be a popular choice for many bettors this weekend, but his +15000 long-shot price is fantastic considering he’s contended at the Travelers before. Since 2010, Baddeley is 6-for-7 on cuts made with a personal-best fourth-place finish at the event in 2014. In that span, he has a scoring average of 68.23.
Another golfer who fared well at the U.S. Open (T-25), the veteran’s expertise around the greens will be a major weapon for him in Connecticut. Baddeley sits second on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green and has proven he can tackle the small greens of TPC River Highlands.
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Odds Shark Staff Wed, Jun 29, 9:33am