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Expert PGA Tour Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Brandt Snedeker of the United States plays his shot from the third tee during the third round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua Golf Club on January 5, 2019 in Lahaina, Hawaii

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Jason Day +900

You’re rarely going to find much value in backing Day, but that’s the price you have to pay to bet a player of his caliber. Inclement weather has never had much of an impact on the Aussie – an important skill to have at this tournament.

Day has been lights-out on Sundays at Pebble Beach, going 9-for-9 with a T-2, T-4, T-5 and two sixth-place finishes here. He’s also in excellent form thanks to a T-5 showing at the Farmers two weeks ago. It’s his time.

My second favorite pick: Brandt Snedeker +4500

Snedeker, who owns the 72-hole record at Pebble Beach Golf Links with a sizzling 265 in 2015, simply loves playing at the track. The 38-year-old has shown an excellent touch with the putter on the California greens and has a leg up on the competition for that reason alone.

Sneds has recorded two wins, a solo fourth and a T-20 at Pebble Beach since 2013. He’s undervalued at +4500, so grab him at that price while you can.

My third favorite pick: Rafa Cabrera-Bello +5000

Cabrera-Bello has been a model of consistency lately, racking up nine top-20s in his last 13 starts worldwide entering this week. The Spaniard is still hunting for his first PGA Tour victory but has five international triumphs under his belt.

Cabrera-Bello ranked T-3 in par-5 scoring en route to a T-26 finish at the 2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and I expect him to put forth an even better performance this time around. He’s a riskier option than Day and Snedeker to win outright, but I especially like him in DFS formats.