With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 John Deere Classic. It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 John Deere Classic prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
It was a disappointing Travelers Championship for us as Scottie Scheffler, Seamus Power and K.H. Lee all missed out on the top 10 by just a few strokes. To make matters worse, Patrick Cantlay faltered during the final round as he was primed to enter the Sportsbook’s circle and notch us an outright Sportsbook in the process.
Last week unfortunately marked the end of a few scorching weeks in a row of cashing numerous prop bets, but we will look to make amends at the John Deere Classic.
Bet On John Deere Classic Props Today
This week’s field at the John Deere Classic is the polar opposite of the last two weeks on the PGA Tour where just about every world-class player teed it up. There are no top-50 players from the Official World Golf Ranking, with the highest being tournament favorite Webb Simpson, who is now ranked 58th in the world after a tough two-year stretch in his career.
Simpson was once as high as No. 4 in the world and TPC Deere Run this week provides a great opportunity for him to begin his march back to this relevance. He is joined by former PGA Championship Sportsbook Jason Day and another major championship Sportsbook, Lucas Glover, who is also the defending champion.
Sportsbook
Simpson is listed at -200 at Sportsbook to finish inside the top 20 at the John Deere Classic after putting together a nice performance at the Travelers Championship.
Our odds calculator gives the seven-time PGA Tour Sportsbook a 66.67 percent chance to do so. Needing to lay $200 to profit $100 at those odds, we will instead look to other options in the prop market for our John Deere Classic selections.
John Deere Classic Prop Bets
Sportsbook
Ryan Armour To Make The Cut -150
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Webb Simpson | -550 |
| Adam Hadwin | -450 |
| Sahith Theegala | -350 |
| Denny McCarthy | -300 |
| Patrick Rodgers | -300 |
| Scott Stallings | -300 |
| Brendon Todd | -275 |
| Charles Howell III | -275 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | -275 |
| Jason Day | -275 |
| Maverick McNealy | -275 |
The 46-year-old is unable to contend on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour, but his game is tailor-made for TPC Deere Run. Armour consistently finds fairways and is sneakily one of the better wedge players in this field. He is coming off a T-25 finish at the Travelers Championship, where despite his lack of distance he posted +0.95 strokes gained off the tee per round.
This performance at TPC River Highlands relied heavily on his off-the-tee presence, but his last two outings did not. Armour finished T-35 at the RBC Canadian Open and posted +0.56 strokes gained approach per round and +0.27 strokes gained around the green per round.
His number to make the cut is slightly off simply because of his latest history in the John Deere Classic. He has missed the cut at TPC Deere Run in three consecutive appearances after making the weekend in the first two outings of his career.
Given his consistency this season and the statistical fit this venue should present for him, Armour will be able to see the latter stages of this tournament.
Nate Lashley To Make The Cut -150
Lashley has been extremely competent in 2022 despite the lack of truly quality results. In fact, over the last six months, Lashley ranks inside the top 25 in this field in the following statistics: greens in regulation, proximity from 125 to 150 yards, strokes gained par 4s, birdies or better gained, and bogey avoidance.
All of this should add up to another made cut as he did so in 2019 when he finished in a tie for 26th.
Sportsbook
He arrives at this year’s John Deere Classic with finishes of T-25 and T-17 in his last four outings. Last week at the Travelers Championship, he gained strokes in each strokes gained category, including +0.57 strokes gained approach per round.
Lashley is a player who is known to go through peaks and valleys and given what he has done in 2022 from a statistical perspective, it is hard to imagine he is in the middle of a downturn.
Chesson Hadley To Miss The Cut +110
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ben Martin | +100 |
| Brandon Wu | +100 |
| Brandt Snedeker | +100 |
| Brice Garnett | +100 |
| Chad Ramey | +100 |
| Charley Hoffman | +100 |
| Chase Seiffert | +100 |
| Chris Gotterup | +100 |
| Hayden Buckley | +100 |
| James Hahn | +100 |
| Joseph Bramlett | +100 |
Hadley finished in solo fifth at the Travelers Championship and he carded the best round of the day Sunday at TPC River Highlands. This was a much-needed result for Hadley, who is on the outside looking in for the FedExCup playoffs and was actually the last player to get into the postseason in 2021.
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Before this performance, he had missed 14 cuts this season alone, including eight since the end of February. Hadley has been wildly inconsistent both off the tee and on approach and often relies on his short game to propel him into the weekend.
He has made three straight cuts at the John Deere Classic, which is why we are receiving plus money, but he did miss the weekend in his first two.
Sam Ryder Top-20 Finish +310
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Webb Simpson | -200 |
| Adam Hadwin | -150 |
| Sahith Theegala | -105 |
| Denny McCarthy | +105 |
| Jason Day | +105 |
| Maverick McNealy | +115 |
| Brendon Todd | +125 |
| Charles Howell III | +125 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +125 |
| Nick Hardy | +125 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +125 |
| Scott Stallings | +125 |
Ryder is an extremely volatile player but his iron play is quickly becoming a strength once again. He posted +1.39 strokes gained approach per round at the Travelers en route to a T-35 effort. This result followed up a nice stretch of iron play where he was unable to convert those performances into any made cuts.
Sportsbook
He posted +0.86, +0.80 and +0.77 strokes gained approach per round from the Byron Nelson, Charles Schwab Challenge and the Memorial Tournament. Combine the run of current form with his finishes at the John Deere Classic and Ryder should be ripe to seriously contend.
He finished T-2 in 2018, T-18 in 2019 and T-58 in 2021. In each instance, he gained significant strokes on the greens, including +1.72 strokes gained putting per round in 2019.
Steve Stricker Top-10 Finish +450
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Webb Simpson | +105 |
| Adam Hadwin | +145 |
| Sahith Theegala | +210 |
| Denny McCarthy | +240 |
| Jason Day | +240 |
| Brendon Todd | +260 |
| Maverick McNealy | +260 |
| Charles Howell III | +280 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +280 |
| Nick Hardy | +280 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +2800 |
| Scott Stallings | +280 |
The 55-year-old has won the John Deere Classic three times in his career and has quietly been playing fantastic on the Champions Tour. His last six results on the senior circuit read: T-2, T-10, win, T-8, T-11 and solo second.
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He arrives at his 15th John Deere Classic off a 6-under 65 to round out his U.S. Senior Open. In addition to his three victories at TPC Deere Run, he has also notched three top-five finishes and two additional top-20 finishes.
Stricker has never missed a cut at this venue and given the current state of his game, he should once again thrive at a venue where he has simply been unstoppable through his long career.
Robert Streb Top-20 Finish +550
The 35-year-old has now made consecutive cuts on the PGA Tour after finishing in a tie for 35th at the Travelers Championship. He posted +0.34 strokes gained off the tee, +0.72 strokes gained approach and +0.10 strokes gained around the green per round at TPC River Highlands.
Sportsbook
Streb has struggled at TPC Deere Run in recent memory and has missed three straight cuts in his John Deere Classic career. However, before this string of poor results, he made four of five cuts, including a T-14 in 2014, which leads me to believe his current form should be a suitable match for this venue.
John Deere Classic Prop Bets: What To Look For
The John Deere Classic boasts one of the weakest fields of the year on the PGA Tour as players rest up for the Scottish Open and subsequently the final major championship of the season.
With eyes on the Open Championship in two weeks, the competition at TPC Deere Run presents an opportunity for players to claim their first victories on the PGA Tour.
Sahith Theegala is one of the favorites for the John Deere Classic and arrives off a heartbreaking finish at the Travelers Championship. The rookie on the PGA Tour made a double bogey on the 72nd hole when he only needed a par to make a playoff with Xander Schauffele.
Sportsbook
That marked the second time such distress has occurred for Theegala, who nearly won the WM Phoenix Open in February.
A player who has been around a bit longer than Theegala but has yet to win on the PGA Tour is Denny McCarthy. The 29-year-old finished inside the top 10 at the U.S. Open and held a share of the 36-hole lead at the Memorial Tournament before finishing inside the top five.
He is currently enjoying his best season on the PGA Tour and although he missed the cut at the Travelers, he has the game to win in a field such as this.
