Betting on golf can be a very profitable endeavor, but it can also be a frustrating one. At the end of the day, it’s all about picking your spots. When it comes to the 2018 edition of the Masters, starry names like Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy are topping odds lists, but there’s plenty of sleeper value in the tournament if you dig deep.
The Masters is unique for many reasons. Unarguably the biggest spectacle on the golfing calendar, the event is the only one on the PGA Tour that features the same venue every year. That means golfers who consistently perform decently at the unforgiving confines of Augusta National are an attractive pick, while players with less appealing records should be fade material since they’ve proven they’ll never be able to master it.
The Masters also features a much smaller field than most PGA tournaments, meaning those long shots may not be as long as you thought due to the lesser number of participants. The typical PGA event hosts 150 players, but only 100 travel to Augusta. It’s also the only tournament where champions earn a lifetime invitation, which means some of the field is playing there for nostalgia’s sake.
With that in mind, here’s a look at some potential sleeper value in this year’s Masters. For a full betting breakdown of the tournament, click here. For more PGA Tour major odds, visit our new golf futures page.
Odds courtesy of [custom:bodog-link]
My favorite sleeper pick: Patrick Cantlay +7500
Cantlay started the 2017-18 PGA Tour season off with a bang by winning the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in November, and he hasn’t taken his foot off the gas pedal since. Cantlay hasn’t missed a cut in eight starts this year to improve to 33rd in the official world rankings.
At 26, Cantlay is far from a household name, but his game is for real. The Californian has proven he can handle the rigors of Augusta by finishing as the low amateur at the 2012 Masters. He’s a serious long shot to win the whole thing, but there are far worse options in his price range.
My second favorite sleeper pick: Charl Schwartzel +10000
Look, I don’t care how low you are on the odds list, if you’ve already worn the green jacket, you automatically command respect at Augusta in my books. Schwartzel’s 2011 Masters win was something to behold, as the South African seemingly came out of nowhere to shock the world in one of the unlikeliest major victories of the last decade.
The price of +10000 seems too good to be true for a player who knows what it takes to tame the extremely tough course, and the 33-year-old’s third-place finish here a year ago proves he can still contend at the most prestigious golfing event on the calendar.
My third favorite sleeper pick: Adam Hadwin +12500
Mike Weir became the first Canadian to win the Masters in 2003 and no Canuck has come close since. I believe Weir’s countryman Hadwin has the ability to seriously contend in Georgia, and I don’t think oddsmakers are giving him enough credit at +12500 in his second Masters appearance.
Hadwin has developed one of the best approach games on the tour – a must for any player at the vaunted course – and even though his putting has been subpar of late, I don’t perceive it being a major issue. The 30-year-old is the best Canada has to offer right now, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him put on a show on the biggest stage.
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