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The Match 4: Mickelson-Brady vs DeChambeau-Rodgers Odds & Picks

Mickelson-Brady vs DeChambeau-Rodgers odds for The Match 4 are here.

The fourth edition of The Match is set and Phil Mickelson, coming off an incredible win at the PGA Championship, is right in the middle of it once again.

Mickelson has been a part of every iteration of The Match so far, and this time he partners once again with Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady. The duo will take on Bryson DeChambeau and Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers in the celebrity golf match.  

Despite Mickelson’s recent major victory, DeChambeau and Rodgers are the early favorites across sportsbooks, including -180 favorites at Bovada. A -180 line gives us an implied odds probability of 64.29 percent that DeChambeau and Rodgers will win. 

Mickelson and Brady vs DeChambeau and Rodgers odds are available now at Bovada.

Want to learn more about betting on golf? Check out our How to Bet on Golf page for strategies, info on prop betting and more.

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The Match 4: Broadcast Details
  • Date/Time: July 6, 5 p.m. ET
  • Location: Big Sky, Montana
  • Course: Moonlight Basin
  • Where to Watch: TNT

Who Will Win The Match 4?

When it comes to celebrity golf events, there’s always money to be made for sports bettors. DeChambeau and Rodgers are favored in the latest odds to win, but be sure to keep checking this page for updated odds.

Odds To Win The Match 4 
Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady+140
Bryson DeChambeau and Aaron Rodgers-180

Odds as of June 11 at Bovada

Rules & Format

The format will be modified alternate shot, meaning the players will each hit a drive, pick the best one and alternate shots until the hole is completed.

The event will support multiple charities, including Feeding America.

Mickelson and Brady

Phil Mickelson is 2-1 in his first three appearances in The Match. Lefty beat Tiger Woods in the first installment of the event, but then lost to Woods and Peyton Manning the first time he paired up with Brady. In the most recent event, The Match 3, Mickelson and partner Charles Barkley pulled off the upset win over Steph Curry and Manning.

Though Brady may be unmatched in the world of football, he is most likely the “worst” golfer in the foursome as he reportedly had an official handicap of 8.1 as of May 2020, according to Golf.com.

And while Mickelson’s win at the PGA Championship this month was extremely impressive, he had only finished in the top 50 of a tour event four times in 14 events this season prior to the win. At 50 years old and ranked No. 32 in the world (he was at 115 before the PGA Championship win), Mickelson is simply an inferior golfer to Bryson DeChambeau at this point in their careers.

Mickelson currently ranks outside the top 120 on tour this season in most major categories, including driving accuracy percentage (199th), greens in regulation percentage (123rd), holes per eagle (184th), sand save percentage (157th) and scoring average (169th).

DeChambeau and Rodgers 

While Rodgers came up short against Brady in the NFC championship game, he definitely has the edge on the golf course. Rodgers reportedly has an official handicap of 4.6, according to USGA, but the veteran QB said in a Golf.com interview that his best is a 3.5.

As for DeChambeau, the current fourth-ranked golfer in the world has enjoyed six top-10 finishes on tour this season, including wins at the U.S. Open in September to start the year and at the Arnold Palmer back in March. DeChambeau has missed just one cut on the year and ranks first in the FedExCup standings, first on the money list and, of course, first on tour in driving distance.

DeChambeau also ranks favorably in several advanced metrics, including holes per eagle (third), birdie average (seventh), scoring average (sixth) and sand save percentage (52nd).

It is no wonder this is the favored pair when looking at Mickelson and Brady vs DeChambeau and Rodgers odds.

Best Bet

Brady has the Super Bowl win and Mickelson has the PGA Championship, but our money is on Rodgers and DeChambeau for The Match 4.

If it wasn’t enough to pick Rodgers and DeChambeau based on current ability, once we dig into the Montana mountain a little further, it becomes even more obvious why books are backing the pair.

Moonlight Basin boasts five par 5s – including three that are more than 600 yards apiece and one over 750 yards (!) – across a vast 8,000-yard course. DeChambeau should have a distinct advantage off the tee with his notoriously powerful swing. Mickelson, meanwhile, ranks 48th on tour in average driving distance.

Mickelson and Brady vs Dechambeau and Rodgers betting should be fun for viewers and bettors alike. The only thing missing is Brooks Koepka to heat up the trash talk with DeChambeau.