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Odds to Win the 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic

 PGA Tour Rocket Mortgage Classic Detroit Golf Club Betting Odds

The PGA Tour heads to the great city of Detroit for the first time in its history, and it’ll be the first time an event will be held in the state of Michigan since the Buick Open in 2009.

The brand new Rocket Mortgage Classic will take place at Detroit Golf Club, which has never hosted a PGA Tour event.

One of the big factors you should look out for when betting on golf is how golfers have done at a course in previous years. With this being the first time tour golfers will compete at this track, we have to throw that handicapping tool out the window.

Because of that, stats and recent form should be your go-to things to look out for.

Detroit Golf Club will play as a 7,340-yard par 72. It has four par-4 holes that measure at under 400 yards and three of the four par-5 holes are reachable in two for some golfers. Most fairways are lined with trees and the rough will be grown to 3.5 inches so driving accuracy will be important.

Because we are going into this event effectively blind, I would recommend looking at the following statistics: strokes gained tee-to-green; strokes gained putting; and driving accuracy.

Those three are my go-to stats in an event that either doesn’t have any defining features or I have limited information on it. Both seem to be true in this scenario.

Weak Field Means It’s Anyone’s Tournament to Win

Dustin Johnson sits as the sizable favorite to win at +550 at  Bovada, but with subpar finishes at the Canadian Open and the U.S. Open (T20 and T35, respectively), I really don’t see any value on him at that price. I want to see him figure out his putting before I look at him to win again.

The next four on the odds list include U.S. Open winner Gary Woodland (+1200), Rickie Fowler (+1200), Hideki Matsuyama (+1400) and last week’s Travelers Championship winner, Chez Reavie (+2500).

With top names like Tiger, McIlroy, Koepka, Spieth, etc., not in the field for this event, you will want to look at a mid-tier player to grab the win. Ideally you want to bet on a player who is accurate off the tee and doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses that will cost him the tournament.

Sungjae Im (+3500) Seeking His First PGA Tour Win

The young Korean phenom has yet to get a win on the PGA Tour, but he checks every box I mentioned earlier and I think he has a great chance to win this weekend.

His stats:

  • 60th in driving accuracy
  • 38th in strokes gained tee-to-green
  • 60th in strokes gained putting
  • 55th in greens in regulation
  • 33rd in scrambling percentage

As you can see, he is good in just about everything. While he isn’t in the top 20 in any statistic, most of the golfers who are above him in these stats aren’t competing in this tournament. In recent weeks, Sungjae Im finished T21 at the Travelers and seventh at the Canadian Open.

I’ve liked the way he has played recently and he has no areas of his game that are far behind the others. He is my pick to win at 35/1.

Brian Stuard (+15000) will be Playing in Front of a Hometown Crowd

Brian Stuard enters as the only Michigan native in this week’s field, so he’ll have the advantage (or disadvantage, depending on how you look at it) of playing in front of family and friends. He has one win on the PGA Tour, coming at the 2016 Zurich Classic.

He played at Detroit Golf Club during his collegiate days, so he does have some experience at this track. Also, his numbers are better than you may have thought for a golfer you have probably never heard of.

  • 7th in driving accuracy
  • 76th in strokes gained tee-to-green
  • 90th in strokes gained putting
  • 148th in greens in regulation
  • 5th in scrambling percentage

Obviously the two that stand out are driving accuracy and scrambling, where he sits in the top seven in both categories. Being 148th in greens in regulation is worrisome, as it means he gets very few chances at a birdie putt compared to the field. The fact that he’s fifth in scrambling is very interesting compared to his greens in regulation number, since it means he isn’t hitting the greens on his approach shot, but he’s able to save par quite often.

Given that his odds are at 150/1, I love that price for a hometown guy who is in the top seven in two of the most important statistics in golf. If he hits his irons pure this week, he could find himself as a PGA Tour winner for the second time. He’s a great option as a long-shot flyer.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds:

2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
  • Dustin Johnson +550
  • Hideki Matsuyama +1200
  • Rickie Fowler +1200
  • Gary Woodland +1400
  • Chez Reavie +2500
  • Brandt Snedeker +2800
  • Ryan Moore +2800
  • Billy Horschel +3000
  • Patrick Reed +3000
  • Kevin Kisner +3300
  • Bubba Watson +3500
  • Sungjae Im +3500
  • Joaquin Niemann +4000
  • Aaron Wise +4500
  • Kevin Streelman +4500
  • Viktor Hovland +4500
  • Brian Harman +5000
  • Byeong Hun An +5000
  • Jason Dufner +5000
  • Kevin Tway +5000
  • Rory Sabbatini +5000
  • Kyoung-Hoon Lee +5500
  • Charles Howell III +6000
  • Charley Hoffman +6000
  • Jason Kokrak +6000
  • Kyle Stanley +7000
  • Keith Mitchell +7500
  • Jimmy Walker +8000
  • Luke List +8000
  • Nick Watney +8000
  • Sung Kang +8000
  • Vaughn Taylor +8000
  • J.J. Spaun +9000
  • Martin Laird +9000
  • Bud Cauley +10000
  • Cameron Smith +10000
  • Corey Conners +10000
  • Danny Lee +10000
  • Harold Varner III +10000
  • Mackenzie Hughes +10000
  • Matthew Wolff +10000
  • Peter Malnati +10000
  • Russell Henley +10000
  • Si Woo Kim +10000
  • Chesson Hadley +11000
  • Michael Thompson +11000
  • Roberto Diaz +11000
  • Zack Sucher +11000
  • Austin Cook +12500
  • Beau Hossler +12500
  • Brendan Steele +12500
  • J.B. Holmes +12500
  • Max Homa +12500
  • Peter Uihlein +12500
  • Stephan Jaeger +12500
  • Alex Prugh +15000
  • Brian Stuard +15000
  • Cameron Champ +15000
  • Cameron Tringale +15000
  • Dylan Frittelli+15000
  • Hank Lebioda+15000
  • J.T. Poston +15000
  • Jonas Blixt +15000
  • Matt Jones +15000
  • Nick Taylor +15000
  • Ollie Schniederjans +15000
  • Robert Streb +15000
  • Ryan Armour +15000
  • Ryan Blaum +15000
  • Sam Burns +15000
  • Sebastian Munoz +15000
  • Troy Merritt +15000
  • Wyndham Clark +15000
  • Adam Long +17500
  • Andrew Landry +17500
  • Harris English +17500
  • Sam Ryder +17500
  • Scott Brown +17500
  • Scott Stallings +17500
  • Seamus Power +17500
  • Ben Silverman +20000
  • Brian Gay +20000
  • Luke Donald +20000
  • Sepp Straka +20000
  • Trey Mullinax +20000
  • Tyler Duncan +20000
  • Cody Gribble +22500
  • Tom Hoge +22500
  • Adam Schenk +25000
  • Anirban Lahiri +25000
  • Bronson Burgoon +25000
  • Chris Stroud +25000
  • Denny McCarthy +25000
  • Jim Knous +25000
  • Josh Teater +25000
  • Kramer Hickok +25000
  • Roberto Castro +25000
  • Sangmoon Bae +25000
  • Shawn Stefani +25000
  • Cameron Davis +27500
  • Adam Svensson +30000
  • Brady Schnell +30000
  • Brandon Harkins +30000
  • Brice Garnett +30000
  • Carlos Ortiz +30000
  • Curtis Luck +30000
  • Freddie Jacobson +30000
  • Hunter Mahan +30000
  • Joey Garber +30000
  • Jose De Jesus Rodriguez +30000
  • Nicholas Lindheim +30000
  • Patton Kizzire +30000
  • Roger Sloan +30000
  • Scott Langley +30000
  • Stewart Cink +30000
  • Wes Roach +30000
  • Alex Cejka +35000
  • Fabian Gomez +35000
  • Hudson Swafford +35000
  • J.J. Henry +35000
  • Julian Etulain +35000
  • Justin Suh +35000
  • Satoshi Kodaira +35000
  • Chris Thompson +40000
  • Ernie Els +40000
  • Kelly Kraft +40000
  • Kyle Jones +40000
  • Morgan Hoffmann +40000
  • Richy Werenski +40000
  • Sam Saunders +40000
  • Ted Potter Jr. +40000
  • Billy Hurley III +45000
  • Martin Trainer +45000
  • Anders Albertson +50000
  • Chad Collins +50000
  • Colt Knost +50000
  • Rod Pampling +50000
  • Seth Reeves +50000
  • Whee Kim +50000
  • Zach Bauchou +50000
  • Chase Wright +55000
  • Michael Kim +55000
  • Ryan Vermeer +60000
  • Smylie Kaufman +60000
  • Will Claxton +60000
  • John Chin +65000
  • Mike Weir +65000
  • Jim Herman +70000
  • Will MacKenzie +75000
  • Lee Houtteman +100000
  • David Berganio Jr. +200000
Odds as of June 25 at Bovada

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