Rory McIlroy is favored in the BMW Championship Odds

2023 BMW Championship Odds & Picks: McIlroy Chalked In Postseason Event

The FedEx Cup Playoffs roll on with the 2023 BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club representing the second leg of the postseason.

Following Lucas Glover’s dramatic victory at the St. Jude Championship, 50 players travel outside Chicago with one eye on East Lake for next week’s Tour Championship.

Before we can get to the season finale, we must get to the BMW Championship where Patrick Cantlay is the two-time defending champion. The 2021 FedEx Cup winner is listed fourth on the betting board at +1200 behind Rory McIlroy at +700, Scottie Scheffler at +800 and Jon Rahm at +1000.

Cantlay looks to make amends after falling in a playoff in Memphis and become the first player since 2011 to win a tournament three straight years. Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele round out those players listed at +2000 or lower as the game’s elite jostle for positioning before the staggered start at the Tour Championship.

2023 BMW Championship Betting Odds

Odds To Win The BMW Championship
Rory McIlroy+700
Scottie Scheffler+800
Jon Rahm+1000
Patrick Cantlay+1200
Viktor Hovland+1600
Xander Schauffele+2000
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Collin Morikawa+2500
Max Homa+2500
Lucas Glover+2500
Jordan Spieth+2800
Tyrrell Hatton+3000
Russell Henley+3500

Odds as of August 15

2023 BMW Championship Betting Picks

With the season finale on the horizon, let's see if we can pick out a winner.

Scottie Scheffler To Win (+800)

The world No. 1 has remained winless since March, but he continues to put up historic tee-to-green numbers. Scheffler’s last two starts that resulted in finishes outside the top 20 gives us a slight reprieve on his price as he is no longer the betting favorite. It is time to buy low on the reigning Player of the Year and especially at a golf course like Olympia Fields.

Playing as the fourth most difficult golf course on the PGA Tour in 2020, Olympia Fields will demand players to be excellent from tee to green. This will perfectly suit the Texan as he ranks first in total strokes gained, first in strokes gained tee-to-green, first in strokes gained off the tee, first in strokes gained approach and second in strokes gained around the green over the last six months.

Patrick Cantlay To Win (+1200)

Cantlay remains winless on the season, but he is currently enjoying the best year of his career in terms of total strokes gained. The ball has simply not bounced his way, and this was highlighted at the St. Jude Championship when his opening tee shot in the playoff found the water hazard.

The 2021 FedEx Cup champion should relish the opportunity to make history at a golf course where he finished T-12 in 2020. He is the only player in this field to rank inside the top 10 in both driving distance and driving accuracy over the last six months. Cantlay also ranks third in total strokes gained, third in strokes gained tee-to-green, third in strokes gained off the tee, 11th in strokes gained approach and fourth in strokes gained around the green during this same span.

Tyrrell Hatton To Win (+3000)

The Englishman has been going off at this price for major championships and is now +3000 to win in a 50-man field.

It wasn’t all bad for Hatton at the St. Jude Championship as he struck the ball adequately only to experience a poor week on and around the green. Before his trip to Memphis, Hatton had close calls at the Scottish Open, Canadian Open and the Wells Fargo Championship. In fact, Hatton has eight top-20 finishes in his last 10 starts and ranks seventh in total strokes gained during this time.

He is the only player in this field to rank inside the top 20 in each strokes-gained metric over the last six months and has proven to like more difficult setups like Olympia Fields.

Rickie Fowler To Win (+4000)

Fowler fell flat in his postseason opener, but he continues to be one of the best players in the world from a strokes-gained perspective. Over the last six months, he ranks ninth in total strokes gained, 10th in strokes gained approach, ninth in strokes gained around the green and eighth in strokes gained putting.

He is only four starts removed from winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic and a few more removed from his close call at the U.S. Open where he set the scoring record in the opening round.

Fowler will need his driver to cooperate if he is to contend in this field, but he has proven in the past to be capable in the postseason as a prior winner. While many are already penciling him for the U.S. Ryder Cup team, Fowler would love nothing more than to leave nothing to fate when it comes to his spot on the squad in Rome.

Cameron Young Top-20 Finish (-105)

It hasn’t been the best season for the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, but he looks to be finding something late.

A top-10 finisher at the John Deere Classic and The Open, Young looks to finish fast and play his way into the Tour Championship. He begins the week outside the top-30 cut off and perhaps on the outside looking in for the U.S. Ryder Cup team. A big week can change both of those, and Olympia Fields may be the perfect proving ground for the major championship savant.

Young ranks fifth in strokes gained off the tee and ninth in strokes gained tee-to-green over the last six months thanks to his length with the big stick. The 2020 BMW Championship saw a pair of major champions with similar statistical profiles to Young rise to the top by week’s end.

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