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PGA: Shell Houston Open Odds

Phil Mickelson

The anticipation for the 2016 edition of the Masters is high, but before the PGA Tour hits Augusta there’s a final tune up at the Shell Houston Open this weekend.

Set at the Golf Course of Houston in Humble, Texas, the course features a more wide open design compared to recent tournaments. There’s little rough to be found and the fairways are wider than most on the Tour, but water is in play on half of the holes.

At Bovada, Jordan Spieth is a +600 favorite to claim the title, with Henrik Stenson (+1200), Rickie Fowler (+1200), Dustin Johnson (+1400) and Phil Mickelson (+1800) rounding out the top five. Last year’s champion, J.B. Holmes, is available for a price of +2500.

Is Spieth being consistently overvalued? It’s hard to argue against it. The 22-year-old could do no wrong in 2015 but hasn’t looked like his normal self this season, however sportsbooks are clearly respecting him by tabbing him as the favorite week after week. It’s safe to say there are better options unless you’re convinced the American will find his form again in the Lone Star State.

Big hitters have had great success at the Shell Houston Open. Including Holmes, one of the longest players off the tee in the world, fellow bombers Adam Scott, Paul Casey, Anthony Kim and Phil Mickelson have won four of the last six tournaments. Holmes was first on the PGA Tour in driving distance and last in driving accuracy, so the latter will likely prove not to be as important this time around.

Rickie Fowler’s raw talent is undeniable, but the young gun has never fared well at this event. In four starts, Fowler has finished 65th, 63rd, 6th and 71st. Needless to say, it may be best to take a pass on the American.

Henrik Stenson did not take part in last week’s WGC-Dell Match Play, so he’ll be well-rested come Sunday. But for some reason Stenson can’t seem to get the job done on American soil, as the Swede has not won in the United States in two and a half years.

While some of the highest profile players we’re accustomed to seeing have opted to sit this one out in order to prepare for the Masters, golf bettors would be wise to take into account who’s playing well in Texas.

Spieth was the 2015 Shell Houston Open runner up and parlayed that performance into his first green jacket, and history has shown other golfers who have fared well at the tournament have gone on to make some noise at Augusta.

2016 Shell Houston Open Odds
  • Jordan Spieth +600
  • Henrik Stenson +1200
  • Rickie Fowler +1200
  • Dustin Johnson +1400
  • Louis Oosthuizen +2000
  • Patrick Reed +2000
  • Phil Mickelson +1800
  • J.B. Holmes +2500
  • Sergio Garcia +2500
  • Brooks Koepka +3000
  • Charl Schwartzel +3000
  • Jimmy Walker +4500
  • Charles Howell III +6000
  • Keegan Bradley +6000
  • Kevin Chappell +6000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +6500
  • K J Choi +7000
  • Tony Finau +7000
  • Graham DeLaet +6600
  • Harris English +7500
  • Ryan Palmer +7500
  • Brendan Steele +8000
  • Cameron Tringale +8000
  • Fredrik Jacobson +8000
  • Jason Kokrak +8000
  • Russell Henley +8000
  • Scott Brown +8000
  • Scott Piercy +8000
  • Shane Lowry +8000
  • Steve Stricker +8000
  • Daniel Berger +8500
  • Gary Woodland +9000
  • Patrick Rodgers +9000
  • Jamie Lovemark +9000
Odds as of March 28 at Bovada