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PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Adam Scott PGA

We’re less than a month away from the first major tournament of the PGA Tour season, but before the world’s best golfers tee off at Augusta there’s still work to be done, including this weekend’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. Palmer, one of the best to ever play the game, will not be involved as heavily as past years, but the 86-year-old will still be a celebratory part of the event.

The Bay Hill Country Club in Orlando is the site for the action as the Tour’s Florida swing continues. At online sportsbook Bovada, Rory McIlroy is a +550 favorite to claim the hardware, while the red-hot Adam Scott (+800), Henrik Stenson (+1200), Jason Day (+1400) and Justin Rose (+1600) round out the top five.

He’s far from a household name, but Matt Every is a back-to-back champion at the tournament. A year removed from an extremely impressive 19-under performance, Every is available at a fantastic price of +9000. That’s some great value for a player who clearly excels in the Sunshine State.

Before Every’s win in 2014, each of the five winners preceding him had recorded a top-five finish on the Florida Swing, meaning it may be wise to invest in someone who’s swinging a hot club.

Case in point: Scott. The Aussie couldn’t get past Bubba Watson at Riviera, but in light of victories at the Honda Classic and the WGC-Cadillac Championship, there isn’t a golfer in the world that’s playing as well as him right now.

Scott ranks third on the Tour for birdie average in 2016, and Bay Hill is clearly tailored to his strengths. The 35-year-old didn’t participate in the Valspar last week, so the extra rest is definitely working in his favor.

If you’re thinking about wagering on a player who’s participating in this tournament for the first time, you may want to think again. Robert Gamez was the last golfer to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational in his first appearance, and that was all the way back in 1990.

Underwhelming putting asside, McIlroy finished in 11th place in his debut performance in Orlando last year and was generally solid overall. An improved showing is expected this time around for the Northern Irishman.

Always the bridesmaid and never the bride, wins on North American soil continue to evade Stenson. The Swede hasn’t won in the Western Hemisphere in two and a half years, and when you take his recent shaky play into context, it may be wise to stay away from him this week.

2016 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Odds as of March 14 at Bovada

  • Rory McIlroy +550
  • Adam Scott +800
  • Henrik Stenson +1200
  • Jason Day +1400
  • Justin Rose +1600
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2500
  • Kevin Na +3300
  • Ryan Moore +3300
  • Matt Kuchar +3500
  • Harris English +5000
  • Brandt Snedeker +5000
  • Marc Leishman +5000
  • Paul Casey +5000
  • Jason Kokrak +5500
  • Kevin Kisner +5500
  • Brendan Steele +6000
  • Graeme McDowell +6000
  • Byeong-Hun An +6600
  • Charles Howell III +6600
  • Webb Simpson +6600
  • Zach Johnson +5000
  • David Lingmerth +7500
  • Gary Woodland +7500
  • Matt Jones +7500
  • William McGirt +7500
  • Andy Sullivan +6600
  • Billy Horschel +8000
  • Danny Lee +8000
  • K J Choi +8000
  • Keegan Bradley +8000
  • Kevin Streelman +8000
  • Ryan Palmer +8000
  • John Huh +9000
  • Luke Donald +9000
  • Matt Every +9000
  • Chez Reavie +10000
  • Fredrik Jacobson +10000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +10000
  • Thomas Pieters +10000