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2018 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks

Keegan Bradley lines up his birdie attempt on the 17th hole during round one of A Military Tribute At The Greenbrier at the Old White TPC course on July 5, 2018 in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia.

The key to betting on golf is picking your spots. When it comes to the 2018 edition of the PGA Championship at Bellerive Golf Club in Town and Country, Missouri, starry names like Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy are topping odds lists, but there’s plenty of sleeper value in the tournament if you dig deep.

With that in mind, here’s a look at some potential sleeper value in this year’s PGA Championship. For a full breakdown of the tournament, visit my betting preview. To find out my top three selections for the final major of the season, check out my Expert Betting Picks piece.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley +10000

Bradley put together a season for the ages in 2011 when he won the PGA Championship and the PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, yet he’s struggled to take his game to the next level since then. The American has gotten into a groove lately and is playing the best golf in quite some time heading into the final major of the year.

Dating back to the 2016-17 campaign Bradley has missed only four cuts in 31 starts and leads the Tour in total driving. His failure to play into the weekend at the U.S. Open is his only missed cut from an individual stroke-play event since the Genesis Open in February.

My second favorite sleeper pick: Luke List +12500

List is far from a household name on the PGA Tour but he’s enjoying the best season of his career right now. The 33-year-old has five top-10s including a playoff loss to Justin Thomas at the Honda Classic and made the first cut of his career at a major at the British Open.

Ranking fifth in driving distance at 315.1 yards, List is excellent off the tee and sits fifth on the Tour in strokes gained: tee to green. Strong iron play is imperative to finding success at Bellerive and List is relatively solid in that category as well. Whether List fares well or not will depend on his putting, but if he can get the flat stick working, watch out.

My third favorite sleeper pick: Ryan Fox +30000

Fox is the definition of a dark horse pick, but his long shot price of +30000 is too good to pass up considering his talent. The Kiwi made the cut at both the U.S. Open (T-41) and British Open (T-39) and should have an easier time seeing the weekend at Bellerive than he did at the tough Shinnecock Hills and Carnoustie.

Thanks to a playoff loss at the Irish Open and a T-6 showing at the Scottish Open, Fox has climbed to ninth on the Race to Dubai list on the European Tour and is primed to continue his hot play in Missouri. He’ll obviously be in tough to win the whole thing but he could be a sneaky play in DFS formats.

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