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PGA Tour Expert Picks: The Players Championship

PGA Tour Expert Picks: The Players Championship

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the unofficial fifth major of the year – the Players Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview. To see a full list of betting props for the highly anticipated event, head over to my Players Championship props page.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My Favorite Pick: Webb Simpson +2800

The 2018 champion is consistently one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour, yet he’s shined at this event. Sandwiching his victory two years ago, Simpson has notched two T-16 finishes at the event in 2017 and 2019.

He is playing some fantastic golf right now. A poor showing in Mexico aside, he’s on a run of five consecutive top-10 results, including a victory at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Given his comfort level at Sawgrass, I like Simpson a lot at his +2800 price.

My Second Favorite Pick: Brooks Koepka +3300

Koepka simply hasn’t been himself of late, so I understand if you’re wary of tailing this bet due to his recent inconsistent performances. Koepka’s track record is far too good to be ranked as low as +3300, however, so I think you have to take the value here given his penchant for rising to the top on golf’s biggest stages.

Koepka doesn’t have any top-10 results at the Players, but he has made his past four cuts at the tournament. The brighter the lights, the better Koepka plays. I’m banking on him bouncing back this week in a loaded field.

My Third Favorite Pick: Keegan Bradley +15000

Bradley is a long-shot pick at +15000 odds, but he’s severely undervalued due to the abundance of talented golfers in front of him on the oddsboard. Bradley was the 18-hole leader here a year ago after notching an opening 65 on Thursday before finishing T-16. The 33-year-old placed T-7 in the 2018 Players.

Bradley has rattled off sub-70 scores in five of his last eight trips to Sawgrass. Based on those numbers alone, he’s more than worth a bet given his long odds.