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PGA Tour Expert Picks: Sony Open

PGA Tour Expert Picks Sony Open

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My Favorite Pick: Webb Simpson +1200

It’s hard to go against Justin Thomas in Hawaii, but you’re simply not going to find any value in Thomas’s +500 pre-tournament price. Instead, I’m going with Simpson at Waialae. Since debuting in 2009, Simpson is 9-for-9 on cuts made with six top-20s, including in each of his last five visits to Honolulu.

The American sat out last year but is back to pursue his first Sony Open championship. He has also been in excellent form, opening the season with a T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and a T-10 at the Hero World Challenge.

My Second Favorite Pick: Charles Howell III +4000

Like Simpson, Howell also loves playing in the Aloha State but has never won at the Sony Open. The 40-year-old hasn’t missed this tournament since 2002, while making the cut in every single edition in 18 starts.

Howell has 10 top-10s and a scoring average of 67.51 in 68 rounds at the course. He placed T-8 last year and T-8 in 2017, so his time could finally be coming to emerge triumphant in Hawaii. At +4000, he’s offering excellent value given his experience at the track.

My Third Favorite Pick: Brian Stuard +6600

Quietly, Stuard has gone 6-for-7 on cuts made at the Sony Open along with four top-10s and a scoring average of 67.23. He was surging last fall to the tune of four top-25s, concluding with a T-10 at the RSM Classic.

Stuard only has one championship on his PGA Tour resume (2016 Zurich Classic), yet he’s talented enough to contend when the course suits him. He’s a long shot to win outright, but Stuard looks like a sneaky play for DFS bettors in Honolulu.