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PGA Tour Expert Picks: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Justin Thomas of the United States plays a shot during a practice round prior to the 148th Open Championship held on the Dunluce Links at Royal Portrush Golf Club on July 15, 2019 in Portrush, United Kingdom.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My Favorite Pick: Justin Thomas +1400

Thomas won this event last year when it was held at Firestone, and even though it’s taking place at TPC Southwind, I’m backing the American yet again due to his dominance in World Golf Championship events. He has four top-10s in his last five WGC starts.

Thomas hasn’t played at this course before but he’s proven in the past he can win wherever he goes. The 26-year-old tied for ninth at the Scottish Open and shared 12th at The Open. The form is there, so taking a shot on Thomas at +1400 odds is great value in my eyes.

My Second Favorite Pick: Chez Reavie +5500

Reavie doesn’t have a good track record at WGC tournaments, but he’s been stellar at TPC Southwind in his career. Reavie’s best finish in nine starts at WGC events is T-24, yet I’m banking on him rising to the occasion at a course he’s clearly comfortable with.

The 2019 Travelers Championship winner tied for 12th at Southwind in 2015 before finishing T-4 and T-6 the past two years. He’s failed to make the cut in his last two appearances since his triumph at the Travelers but I think he’ll bounce back this week.

My Third Favorite Pick: Matthew Wolff +8000

Wolff has been one of the most interesting storylines of the 2018-19 PGA Tour season, but this guy is living up to the hype. The 20-year-old with the unconventional swing recently beat out Bryson DeChambeau at the 3M Open and is primed for some big showings at high-profile events.

This is Wolff’s first WGC start and his length off the tee along with his excellent putting fits perfectly for Southwind. With a week off to decompress after his 3M Open win, don’t be surprised if the Oklahoma State product is in the mix on Sunday.