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After a Wild Saturday, U.S. Open is Wide Open Entering Final Round

This article is for the 2018 U.S. Open. For a full betting preview of the 2018 British Open, click here.

Saturday at the U.S. Open was one of the wildest rounds in recent tournament history, and the Sunday finish is shaping up to be wide open as a result.

Dustin Johnson is the +250 favorite to win the 2018 U.S. Open entering Sunday.

Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Daniel Berger sit atop the leaderboard at 3 over, while Justin Rose (+4), Henrik Stenson (+5), Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+6), Patrick Reed (+6), Jim Furyk (+6), Brian Gay (+7), Dylan Meyer (+7), Tyrrell Hatton (+7), Branden Grace (+7), Ian Poulter (+7) and Charley Hoffman (+7) aren’t far back.

Johnson is the +250 favorite at Bovada, with Koepka (+400), Rose (+400), Finau (+800), Berger (+900), Stenson (+1200), Reed (+2200), Grace (+4500), Justin Thomas (+5000) and Aphibarnrat (+6000) comprising the top 10 on the oddsboard at the shop.

Nightmare Saturday at Shinnecock Hills

DJ, who was the -150 minus-money favorite while holding a four-shot lead entering play on Saturday, shot a 77 in the third round to completely erase his comfortable lead. Shinnecock Hills was brutally tough for the golfers who played later in the day, as scores heightened across the board as the round went on. No one from the final 22 groups could match par.

At +3, Johnson, Koepka, Finau and Berger share the highest 54-hole score to lead a U.S. Open since Winged Foot in 1974. The scoring average (75.33) is the highest for a third round at the major since Pebble Beach in 2000.

Berger and Finau took advantage of the favorable early conditions to shoot the low rounds of the day with a 4-under 66. Per Justin Ray of the Golf Channel, no player has ever been outside the top 35 after the second round and won a major championship. Berger and Finau were tied for 45th entering Saturday.

2018 U.S. Open Odds

Odds as of June 17 at Bovada

  • Dustin Johnson +250
  • Brooks Koepka +400
  • Justin Rose +400
  • Tony Finau +800
  • Daniel Berger +900
  • Henrik Stenson +1200
  • Patrick Reed +2200
  • Branden Grace +4500
  • Justin Thomas +5000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +6000
  • Ian Poulter +8000
  • Jim Furyk +8000
  • Charley Hoffman +10000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +12500
  • Bryson DeChambeau +15000
  • Gary Woodland +20000
  • Webb Simpson +20000
  • Tommy Fleetwood +20000
  • Brian Gay +25000
  • Xander Schauffele +25000
  • Zach Johnson +25000
  • Francesco Molinari +25000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +25000
  • Paul Casey +25000
  • Dylan Meyer +40000
  • Russell Henley +50000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +50000
  • Scott Piercy +50000
  • Alex Noren +75000
  • Brendan Steele +75000
  • Charles Howell III +75000
  • Marc Leishman +75000
  • Russell Knox +75000
  • Ryan Fox +75000
  • Brandt Snedeker +100000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +100000
  • Pat Perez +100000

Archived Articles

Ahead of moving day at the 2018 U.S. Open, Dustin Johnson is in a league of his own at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.

After two rounds, Dustin Johnson is the -150 favorite to win the U.S. Open.

Johnson, who shot a 3-under-par 67 on Friday, sits atop the leaderboard at the second major of the year at 4 under. DJ has a four-stroke lead over Scott Piercy and Charley Hoffman who are at even par after two days. Tommy Fleetwood (+1), Henrik Stenson (+1), Justin Rose (+1), Brooks Koepka (+1), Ian Poulter (+1), Russell Henley (+2) and Rickie Fowler (+2) are within striking distance.

At Bovada, DJ is the minus-money -150 favorite, with Rose (+800), Fowler (+1200), Stenson (+1200), Koepka (+1200), Fleetwood (+1600), Hoffman (+2800), Poulter (+3300), Piercy (+4000) and Justin Thomas (+5000) rounding out the top 10.

History is on Johnson's side

Shinnecock was much more forgiving on Friday compared to Thursday’s blustery opening round, and the scores dropped across the board as a result. Fleetwood and Koepka shared the low round of the day at 66.

While you won’t find much value by backing Johnson entering Saturday, history is on his side in a big way. According to Justin Ray of the Golf Channel, Johnson is the fifth player in the last 100 years to lead the U.S. Open by four or more strokes after 36 holes. The previous four won by a combined total of 40 shots.

Here’s a look at the shop’s full list of odds:

2018 U.S. Open Odds

Odds as of June 16 at Bovada

  • Dustin Johnson -150
  • Justin Rose +800
  • Rickie Fowler +1200
  • Henrik Stenson +1200
  • Brooks Koepka +1200
  • Tommy Fleetwood +1600
  • Charley Hoffman +2800
  • Ian Poulter +3300
  • Scott Piercy +4000
  • Justin Thomas +5000
  • Marc Leishman +5000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +8000
  • Russell Henley +8000
  • Alex Noren +10000
  • Charles Howell III +15000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +15000
  • Patrick Reed +15000
  • Russell Knox +20000
  • Branden Grace +20000
  • Phil Mickelson +20000
  • Brian Harman +20000
  • Jason Dufner +20000
  • Bryson DeChambeau +20000
  • Hideki Matsuyama +25000
  • Paul Casey +25000
  • Brendan Steele +25000
  • Zach Johnson +25000
  • Patrick Cantlay +25000
  • Jimmy Walker +25000
  • Jim Furyk +25000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +30000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +30000
  • Mickey Demorat +30000
  • Jordan Spieth +30000
  • Ryan Fox +30000
  • Daniel Berger +50000
  • Webb Simpson +50000
  • Shubhankar Sharma +50000
  • Tony Finau +60000
  • Brandt Snedeker +60000
  • Peter Uihlein +60000
  • Matt Kuchar +75000
  • Matthieu Pavon +75000
  • Hao Tong Li +75000

Archived Articles

The USGA prides itself on creating the toughest test possible for the best golfers in the world, and the opening round of the 2018 U.S. Open proved to be up to the task and then some in one of the most challenging Thursdays in recent history.

After round 1, Dustin Johnson is the +250 favorite to win the U.S. Open.

On a blustery day at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club that featured very few birdie opportunities and an abundance of big numbers on scorecards, Scott Piercy, Ian Poulter, Russell Henley and world No. 1 Dustin Johnson topped the leaderboard with a 1-under 69. Jason Dufner (even), Matthieu Pavon (+1), Justin Rose (+1), Charles Howell III (+1), Charley Hoffman (+1), Sam Burns (+1), Henrik Stenson (+1) and Byeong Hun An (+1) were within striking distance after 18 holes.

At Bovada, Johnson is the undisputed +250 favorite, with Rose (+550), Stenson (+1200), Poulter (+1600), Rickie Fowler (+1800), Justin Thomas (+2500), Russell Henley (+2800), Alex Noren (+3300), Dufner (+3300) and Piercy (+3300) rounding out the top 10 on the oddsboard.

Top players fade to the back of the pack in New York

Many of the biggest names on the PGA Tour struggled mightily at Shinnecock, namely Rory McIlroy (+10), Jason Day (+9), Jon Rahm (+8), Jordan Spieth (+8) and Phil Mickelson (+7). Tiger Woods, who entered the tournament with +2200 odds to end his 10-year major drought, endured a nightmare round which culminated in an 8-over-par 78.

Needless to say, whatever happens from here on out at the U.S. Open is anyone’s guess. Here’s a look at the book’s full list of odds ahead of Day 2.

2018 U.S. Open Odds

Odds as of June 15 at Bovada

  • Dustin Johnson +250
  • Justin Rose +550
  • Henrik Stenson +1200
  • Ian Poulter +1600
  • Rickie Fowler +1800
  • Alex Noren +2500
  • Justin Thomas +2500
  • Russell Henley +2800
  • Jason Dufner +3300
  • Scott Piercy +3300
  • Byeong Hun An +3300
  • Brandt Snedeker +4000
  • Patrick Reed +4000
  • Paul Casey +4000
  • Charley Hoffman +5000
  • Xander Schauffele +5000
  • Charles Howell III +5000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +6600
  • Marc Leishman +6600
  • Louis Oosthuizen +6600
  • Brendan Steele +7500
  • Tommy Fleetwood +8000
  • Hideki Matsuyama +8000
  • Brooks Koepka +8000
  • Matt Kuchar +8000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +8000
  • Zach Johnson +8000
  • Patrick Rodgers +10000
  • Francesco Molinari +10000
  • Si Woo Kim +12500
  • Sergio Garcia +12500
  • Tiger Woods +15000
  • Steve Stricker +15000
  • Russell Knox +15000
  • Branden Grace +15000
  • Phil Mickelson +15000
  • Matthieu Pavon +15000
  • Patrick Cantlay +15000
  • Tony Finau +15000
  • Bryson DeChambeau +15000
  • Jordan Spieth +15000
  • Peter Uihlein +20000
  • Jon Rahm +20000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +20000
  • Kyle Stanley +20000
  • Chez Reavie +20000
  • Luke List +20000
  • Jimmy Walker +20000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +20000
  • Andrew Johnston +20000
  • Emiliano Grillo +20000
  • Aaron Baddeley +20000
  • Pat Perez +20000
  • Hao Tong Li +20000
  • Shane Lowry +25000
  • Brian Gay +25000
  • Cameron Smith +25000
  • Brian Harman +25000
  • Ross Fisher +25000
  • Dylan Frittelli +25000
  • Alexander Levy +25000
  • Braden Thornberry +25000
  • Lucas Glover +25000
  • Matt Wallace +25000
  • Calum Hill +25000
  • Sam Burns +25000
  • Webb Simpson +30000
  • Kevin Chappell +30000
  • Adam Hadwin +30000
  • Kevin Kisner +30000
  • Rory McIlroy +30000
  • Daniel Berger +30000
  • Ryan Fox +30000
  • Jim Furyk +30000
  • Ted Potter Jr. +30000
  • Theo Humphrey +30000
  • Brian Stuard +30000
  • Matt Jones +30000
  • Keegan Bradley +40000
  • Aaron Wise +40000
  • Martin Kaymer +40000
  • Chesson Hadley +40000
  • Ollie Schniederjans +40000
  • Jason Day +40000
  • Adam Scott +50000
  • Gary Woodland +50000
  • Thorbjorn Olesen +50000
  • Bill Haas +50000
  • Shubhankar Sharma +50000
  • Danny Willett +50000
  • Roberto Castro +50000
  • Bubba Watson +50000
  • Chris Naegel +50000
  • Luis Gagne +50000
  • Tom Lewis +50000
  • Will Grimmer +50000

Archived Articles

The first major of the 2017-18 PGA Tour season is in the books, and next up on the docket is the ever-tough U.S. Open. This year, the esteemed event will be held at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Shinnecock Hills, New York on June 14-17.

Dustin Johnson is the +800 favorite to win the 2018 U.S. Open.

When it comes to odds lists, Dustin Johnson leads the pack at +800 odds at Bovada. Justin Rose (+1200), Justin Thomas (+1400), Rory McIlroy (+1400), Jason Day (+1600), Rickie Fowler (+1800), Jordan Spieth (+1800), Jon Rahm (+1800), Brooks Koepka (+2000) and Tiger Woods (+2200) comprise the rest of the top 10 at the shop. Prior to DJ’s triumph at the FedEx St. Jude Classic last weekend, his odds were +1100.

The 2018 U.S. Open marks the 10th anniversary of Woods’ last major win. For a full preview of Woods’ chances to win the tournament, click here.

Koepka earned his first major victory at the 2017 U.S. Open at Erin Hills.

Shinnecock Hills gets a facelift

The last time the tournament was played at Shinnecock Hills was in 2004, but the course is going to have a much different look this time around. The track has been stretched, sculpted and restored to more of its original character, including narrower fairways and an increase in fairway bunkers. The par-70 layout has been lengthened by 446 yards to 7,445, with the longest extensions (76 yards each) coming to the par-4 14th hole (519 yards) and the par-5 16th (616 yards).

Retief Goosen won the tournament in 2004 with a final score of 4 under. Only Goosen and Phil Mickelson (-2) managed to finish under par. Mickelson, who’s never won the U.S. Open but has placed as the runner-up on six occasions, is +2800 to complete the major grand slam.

The U.S. Open is designed to challenge the best players on the tour, so don’t be surprised if many golfers struggle more than usual in New York. To find out which three golfers are my favorite picks to win, check out my PGA Expert Picks piece. For a breakdown of potential sleepers to watch out for, click here. Here’s a look at Bovada’s full odds list:

2018 U.S. Open Odds

Odds as of June 14 at Bovada

  • Dustin Johnson +800
  • Justin Rose +1200
  • Justin Thomas +1400
  • Rory McIlroy +1400
  • Jason Day +1600
  • Rickie Fowler +1800
  • Jordan Spieth +1800
  • Jon Rahm +1800
  • Brooks Koepka +2000
  • Tiger Woods +2200
  • Phil Mickelson +2500
  • Branden Grace +2500
  • Henrik Stenson +2800
  • Hideki Matsuyama +3300
  • Bryson DeChambeau +3300
  • Tommy Fleetwood +4000
  • Patrick Reed +4000
  • Paul Casey +5000
  • Marc Leishman +5000
  • Alex Noren +5000
  • Sergio Garcia +5000
  • Francesco Molinari +5000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +6600
  • Patrick Cantlay +6600
  • Matt Kuchar +6600
  • Webb Simpson +6600
  • Tony Finau +6600
  • Adam Scott +6600
  • Bubba Watson +6600
  • Jimmy Walker +10000
  • Keegan Bradley +10000
  • Peter Uihlein +10000
  • Emiliano Grillo +10000
  • Ian Poulter +10000
  • Brandt Snedeker +10000
  • Charl Schwartzel +10000
  • Byeong-Hun An +10000
  • Kyle Stanley +10000
  • Martin Kaymer +10000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +10000
  • Xander Schauffele +10000
  • Luke List +12500
  • Daniel Berger +12500
  • Steve Stricker +12500
  • Jason Dufner +12500
  • Shane Lowry +12500
  • Tyrrell Hatton +12500
  • Charley Hoffman +12500
  • Aaron Wise +12500
  • Brian Harman +12500
  • Zach Johnson +12500
  • Cameron Smith +15000
  • Kevin Chappell +15000
  • Charles Howell III +15000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +15000
  • Russell Henley +15000
  • Si Woo Kim +15000
  • Chez Reavie +15000
  • Thorbjorn Olesen +15000
  • Patrick Rodgers +15000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
  • Graeme McDowell +15000
  • Gary Woodland +15000
  • Adam Hadwin +15000
  • Chesson Hadley +15000
  • Kevin Kisner +15000
  • Ollie Schniederjans +20000
  • Russell Knox +20000
  • Pat Perez +20000
  • Bill Haas +20000
  • Brendan Steele +20000
  • Hao Tong Li +20000
  • Ross Fisher +20000
  • Aaron Baddeley +20000
  • Scott Piercy +25000
  • Danny Willett +25000
  • Dylan Frittelli +25000
  • Alexander Levy +25000
  • Braden Thornberry +25000
  • Lucas Glover +25000
  • Matt Wallace +25000
  • Andrew Johnston +25000

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