With our outright wagers placed, we now turn to the prop market for our expert selections for the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. It’s always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
On the bright side, we had all four of our top-10 and top-20 selections make their way into the weekend at the Bermuda Championship. Unfortunately, none were able to crack their respective place markets, with the most notable being Brendon Wu, who came up just short with a final round of 2-over 73 to finish in a tie for 34th.
At Bovada, tournament favorite Justin Thomas is -225 to finish inside the top 20. According to our odds calculator, this implies a 69.23 percent chance for him to do so this week. Needing to lay $225 to profit $100, we will instead search further down the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba betting board in search of some perceived value.
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Can This Week At El Camaleon Provide A Breakthrough Winner?
There are plenty of established players this week who are still in search of their first victory on the PGA Tour. With the last two rookies of the year in Scottie Scheffler and Will Zalatoris leading the charge, players such as Cameron Tringale, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Talor Gooch are in the same position as the two young studs.
As well, there are players looking to make their way into the winner’s circle for the second time. Viktor Hovland won his second career title at last year’s World Wide Technology Championship and you can’t help but wonder if another player can add some hardware to his trophy case.
Abraham Ancer, Matthew Wolff, Aaron Wise, Joaquin Niemann and Tyrrell Hatton are among those notables looking for victory No. 2 on the PGA Tour. They could follow in Hovland’s footsteps at the World Wide Technology Championship and cement their positions in the FedExCup standings heading into 2022.
World Wide Technology Championship At Mayakoba: What To Look For
El Camaleon has hosted each edition of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, played since 2007. A par 71, this Greg Norman design has seen various player types come through, but one thing remains the same – anyone can contend down in Mexico.
While Hovland and Wise duked it out in the final round last year, Tom Hoge was in the mix for much of the tournament. He eventually finished in a tie for third alongside Adam Long, who was the runner-up in 2019. Neither player would be considered a staple on PGA Tour leaderboards.
Mix in top-20 appearances from the young Austin Eckroat and the seasoned Steve Stricker, and it truly displays the ability for anyone to play well at El Camaleon. That is mostly because of the lack of length, making the bomber’s edge a bit less in Mayakoba.
While always advantageous to be long, positional play takes a front seat comparatively this week. In the back seat we will have short-game prowess given that Hovland typically struggles in that department and the greens in regulation percentage is higher than at most PGA Tour courses.
Add in strong iron play, specifically from wedge distances, and that should just about do it for our World Wide Technology Championship analysis. We have been a bit aggressive the last two weeks to no avail, so we will be sticking to the top-20 market for our favorite prop bets as there are four players that pique my interest.
World Wide Technology Championship Prop Bets & Best Bets: Our Recommendations
Brice Garnett (+300 to finish inside the top 20)
He doesn’t play well very often, but when he does, he typically finds himself in the mix come the weekend. With Garnett possessing some of the strongest course form in the field, I would be remiss to not include him in this week’s World Wide Technology Championship prop bets.
Despite the suspect start to his season, I believe the 38-year-old is on the cusp of one of those starts in which he contends at a place such as El Camaleon, which fits his game like a glove.
Garnett’s last six appearances in Mayakoba read solo sixth, solo seventh, T-25, solo fifth, T-11 and T-32. Throw in a victory at Corales and some strong showings at various short, accuracy-driven golf courses and his game is ready to explode.
Though unable to get the entirety of his bag to cooperate thus far, Garnett has been striking the ball decently to begin the season, even though he has missed the cut in two of three starts. One week the irons will spike, the next his short game. He will find plenty of fairways – that is never the issue with Garnett. It will just be a matter of the rest of his game following suit, which it has proven to do in past trips to Mayakoba.
Hudson Swafford (+500 to finish inside the top 20)
Truth be told, I have some investment in the outright department with Swafford at +27000 as it seems just a touch long given his propensity to pop over the last year. A winner at Corales Punta Cana Resort and Spa, the former Georgia Bulldog has not only won outside of the United States, but also on paspalum greens that we will have this week at El Camaleon.
His history on the Norman design is not anything to write home about – five consecutive made cuts with zero top-40 finishes – but I believe he arrives this season as a completely transformed player. Woefully inconsistent through his career, the 34-year-old is beginning to find some form in the ball-striking department, which should bode well for him in Mayakoba.
Swafford finished in a tie for 32nd at the CJ Cup at Summit, posting +5.4 SG: Ball-striking in Las Vegas. Typically a strong driver of the golf ball, he has gained strokes off the tee in 13 of his last 17 starts on the PGA Tour dating back to last season. With a combination of distance and accuracy, he should have no issues with the tightness of El Camaleon.
Swafford’s inability to find his touch around the green should hopefully be hidden in a sense. There is no sugar-coating it – he’s now lost strokes around the green in 10 consecutive starts. But he has proven he can get the job done without that part of the bag, thus making him one of our World Wide Technology Championship best bets.
Richy Werenski (+500 to finish inside the top 20)
Werenski has improved in each of three appearances in the World Wide Technology Championship. Debuting in 2016, he finished in a tie for 50th before rattling off finishes of T-41 and most recently T-3 in 2018.
The 29-year-old arrives this season having just made his first cut of the 2021-22 campaign courtesy of a T-47 effort at the Shriners Children’s Open. This followed up horrid performances at the Northern Trust and the Fortinet Championship where he lost a combined 20.6 SG: Tee-to-Green.
Hoping he is far removed from this rough patch, Werenski’s lack of distance should give him no fits given he has posted quality results in Mayakoba in the past. The putter has been relatively hot the last six months, so if the irons continue to improve, I reckon he can make his way into the top 20 at the World Wide Technology Championship.
John Huh (+500 to finish inside the top 20)
There hasn’t been much form in Huh’s game since this time last year, so I am willing to chance the sweet smell of autumn gets the gears turning. With finishes of T-19, T-12 and T-20 last swing season, Huh has played sparingly this time around, yet hinted at a possible return to such form in his last outing at the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Making the cut for the first time since early July, Huh finished in a tie for 63rd at the Country Club of Jackson and now returns to the course of his lone victory on the PGA Tour in 2012. The 31-year-old has continued his strong play at El Camaleon ever since, posting five top-30 finishes in his last seven appearances on the Norman design.
The need for accuracy clearly suits Huh’s eye. He splits fairways with the best of them and it will just be a matter of finding his touch on the greens, which we can assume he has done in the past given his strong track record at the World Wide Technology Championship.
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Odds Shark Staff Sat, Aug 6, 2:25am