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2019 Belmont Stakes Betting: Pletcher Sends Out Duo of Live Long Shots

Spinoff Todd Pletcher Live Long Shots 2019 Belmont Stakes Betting

Trainer Todd Pletcher has won the Belmont Stakes (G3) three times in his career and will be sending out a pair of live long shots in Saturday’s race.

Spinoff was an outsider in the Kentucky Derby (G1) and ran like one. The colt was never a threat in an 18th-place finish, beaten 18 lengths for the top spot at odds of +5200.

Intrepid Heart won his first two starts and makes his Triple Crown debut after a third-place finish in the Peter Pan (G3) over the Belmont Park main track in his last outing.

Spinoff Fits Profile of Belmont Winners

Of the duo, Spinoff fits the Pletcher profile of Belmont Stakes winners.

Tapwrit won the 2017 Belmont Stakes for Pletcher after running sixth in the Kentucky Derby where he was beaten 10 1/4 lengths. He skipped the Preakness and returned to score the mild upset, the colt paying $12.40. 

In 2012, Palace Malice was 12th in the Derby (beaten 13 1/2 lengths), skipped the Preakness and came back to win the Belmont Stakes for Pletcher, returning $29.60.

His other Belmont winner was Rags to Riches, who won the Kentucky Oaks (G1) in her previous outing, skipping the Black Eyed Susan (G2) on Preakness Day.

Spinoff did not do much running in the Kentucky Derby. He came into the race off a six-week break, which is just a bit too much, running a solid second in the Louisiana Derby (G2) at Fair Grounds in his previous start.

He has a solid pedigree to handle the distance, by Hard Spun out of the multiple graded stakes winner Zaftig ($408,700), who won the 2008 Nassau County (G3) and Acorn (G1) over the main track at Belmont Park, then ran third in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1).

His running style in his previous starts is about perfect for this race, he picks up Javier Castellano and is going to be a generous price. His current odds at Bovada are +1200.

Intrepid Heart most lightly raced contender

Intrepid Heart, who is +800, has just the three starts under his belt and is the most lightly raced contender in the race. The colt has a nice pedigree. He is by the sire Tapit, who has accounted for three Belmont winners in the past five years.

His regular rider is Hall of Famer John Velazquez, who has won the Belmont Stakes twice, most recently with Union Rags in 2012.

Preakness winner War of Will (+225) and Kentucky Derby third-place finisher Tacitus (+200) are garnering most of the attention in the betting, meaning both of Pletcher’s runners could be worth a good look at generous odds.

Handicapper Michael Dempsey will be covering the Triple Crown for Odds Shark and his full card reports with selections, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for major tracks can be found daily at turfnsport.com.