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Audible: 2018 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds Analysis

Audible 2018 Kentucky Derby Odds

Audible is perfect in his last four starts after running third in his debut last September and is looking to become the third consecutive Florida Derby (G1) winner to come back and win the Kentucky Derby.

Nyquist pulled off the double in 2016 and Always Dreaming did it last year, marking the 24th time the Kentucky Derby winner has prepped in the Florida Derby, making it the most prolific prep race on the Derby trail. 

Last year’s winner was trained by Todd Pletcher, this colt’s trainer. Pletcher has won the Derby twice, first with Super Saver in 2010. The seven-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer came up empty in his first 24 Derby starters and his record in the Run for the Roses stands at 48-2-2-3.

Bet on the 2018 Kentucky Derby here!

Audible was favorite in February

Audible made his stakes debut in the Holy Bull (G2) and was an impressive winner by 5 ½ lengths, and his price in early Derby betting dropped down to the favorite at +800 in late February.

His Florida Derby victory was equally impressive, and he is now the third choice in early Kentucky Derby wagering at Bovada at +650.

The colt got a good pace set up in the Florida Derby, rating off sharp early fractions, and he finished well but did drift outward inside the final furlong.

The colt was a $500,000 purchase, by Into Mischief out of the Gilded Time mare Blue Devil Bel, who was a sprinter. His pedigree is certainly questionable for the 1 ¼ miles he needs to get on the first Saturday of May.

Castellano looking for first Derby victory

The colt reunites with Javier Castellano, a four-time Eclipse Award winner for outstanding jockey who rode him in his Holy Bull victory. Castellano is still looking for his first winning Derby mount. His record in the race is 11-0-0-0.

Pletcher will be very busy in the paddock, also saddling Louisiana Derby (G2) winner Noble Indy, Wood Memorial (G2) winner Vino Rosso and Arkansas Derby (G1) winner Magnum Moon. The colt may end up the shortest price of the quartet.

On talent, speed figures and connections, he fits well, but with a questionable pedigree and possibly going off as the third or fourth choice, the value of the race could be found elsewhere.

Record: 5-4-0-1
Earnings: $882,920
Bovada Odds: +650
Last Race: Florida Derby (G1)

Handicapper Michael Dempsey will be covering the Triple Crown for OddsShark and his full card reports with selections, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for major tracks can be found daily at turfnsport.com.

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