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Breeders’ Cup Friday Betting: Juveniles Take Center Stage

Sergei Prokofiev Breeders' Cup Juveniles Betting Odds Mike Dempsey Expert

The two-day Breeders’ Cup at Churchill Downs gets underway on Friday with five races for juveniles with several solid betting favorites and three other wide-open races.

Three of the five races will be contested on turf, which will be saturated by several inches of rain that was in the forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. The boggy conditions could favor a strong group of European invaders coming from across the pond.

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

This is the inaugural running, which has expanded the Breeders’ Cup to 14 championship races.

The top three betting favorites are Euro invaders led by Soldier’s Call, who is the early betting favorite at Bovada at +250. Trained by Archie Watson, the colt was a close-up third in the Prix de l’Abbaye (G1) at Longchamp on Arc Day.

Sergei Prokofiev is the second choice in early Juvenile Turf Sprint betting at +350. Trained by Aiden O’Brien, the colt won the Cornwallis Stakes (G3) at Newmarket in his final prep.

The third choice in the betting is So Perfect at +600. Also trained by O’Brien, the filly takes on the boys and is +1200 on the official morning line.

Trainer Wesley Ward will saddle four runners in the field, led by Shang Shang Shang (+700) and Chelsea Cloisters (+1400).

2018 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint Odds 
HorseOdds
Soldier’s Call +333
Sergei Prokofiev +350
Shang Shang Shang +700
So Perfect+700
Bulletin+800
Strike Silver+900
Pocket Dynamo+1000
Well Done Fox+1200
Chelsea Cloisters+1400
Moonlight Romance+1400
Queen Of Bermuda+1400
Van Beethoven+1600
Big Drink Of Water +2000
Legends Of War +2000
Stillwater Cove +2000
Comedy +3300

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

The home team leads the Euros by an 8-2 margin in the Juvenile Fillies Turf and this year trainer Chad Brown will look for his fourth win in the last five editions of this race when he sends out the favorite Newspaperofrecord.

The filly won the Miss Grillo (G2) at Belmont Park in her last outing over yielding ground. She is +175 in early wagering at Bovada.

The Mackem Bullet is a generous +1200 in early betting. She has run into a very talented runner in Fairyland in her last two starts.

The shortest price among the Euros is Just Wonderful at +350. The O’Brien trainee won the Rockfel Stakes (G2) over good to firm ground at Newmarket in her last start.

2018 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Odds 
HorseOdds
Newspaperofrecord+175
Just Wonderful+333
Concrete Rose+700
La Pelosa +800
East +1000
Lilys Candle +1000
The Mackem Bullet +1200
My Gal Betty +1800
Pakhet +2500
Stellar Agent +2500
Summering +2500
Belle Laura +4000
Lady Prancealot +4000
Pivottina +4000
Varenka +4000
Winning Envelope +5000

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

This race has seen 18 betting favorites win in the 34 runnings, but over the past five years we have seen long shots win, ranging from a $36.60 to a high of $125.40.

This year’s betting favorite is Bellafina, currently listed at +200 at Bovada. The filly has won her last three starts, taking the Chandelier (G1) at Santa Anita by 6½ lengths in her last start.

Alcibiades (G1) winner Restless Rider and Pocahontas (G2) winner Serengeti Empress are the co-second choices at +333.

2018 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Odds 
HorseOdds
Bellafina+225
Serengeti Empress +333
Restless Rider +350
Jaywalk +500
Sippican Harbor +600
Reflect +2000
Vibrance +2000
Cassies Dreamer +2500
Splashy Kisses +4000
Baby Nina +10000

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

The Euro invaders hold the edge in this race, taking seven of the 11 runnings, and they will be well represented by five contenders making their U.S. debuts. With the prospect of yielding or soft turf, they will be tough to beat.

Aiden O’Brien has won this race four times and has the current favorite in Anthony Van Dyck, who is at +200 at Bovada. However, the colt drew a tough post, as he will break from the 14.

Line of Duty is the second choice at +350. The colt is trained by Charles Appleby, who won the 2013 edition with Outstrip, who paid $14.00 to win.

Forty Under (+700) is the leading U.S.-based contender. The colt won the Pilgrim (G3) at Belmont Park in his last start.

2018 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Odds 
HorseOdds
Anthony Van Dyck+200
Line of Duty+300
Current +900
Forty Under +900
Arthur Kitt +1000
The Black Album +1000
Henleys Joy+1200
Somelikeithotbrown +1200
Uncle Benny +1200
King Of Speed +2000
Marie's Diamond +2000
Opry +2000
War Of Will +2000
Much Better +2500
Order And Law +4000
Tracksmith +5000

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

The Juvenile winner certainly will become the early betting favorite for next spring’s Kentucky Derby (G1). Game Winner will be saddled by Bob Baffert, no stranger to the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs. The colt is a solid favorite at +150 at Bovada for the Juvenile.

The colt is perfect in three starts. He won the American Pharoah (G1) at Santa Anita in his last outing.

His biggest threat may be Complexity, who will be sent out by trainer Chad Brown, who won last year’s Juvenile with Good Magic. The colt is coming off a gate-to-wire score in the Champagne (G1) at Belmont Park, a race that has produced nine Juvenile winners.

2018 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Odds 
HorseOdds
Game Winner +150
Complexity +300
Code Of Honor +600
Mind Control +1000
Gunmetal Gray +1200
Well Defined +1400
Knicks Go +1600
Standard Deviation +1600
Dueling +2000
Tight Ten +2000
Signalman +2500
Mr. Money +4000
Topper T +5000
Derby Date +10000

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Coming up tomorrow: Live long shots for Friday’s races.

Handicapper Michael Dempsey will be covering the Breeders’ Cup for OddsShark and his full card reports with selections, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for major tracks can be found daily at turfnsport.com.

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