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Breeders’ Cup: Saturday Expert Picks, Best Bets & Value Long-Shots

2020 Breeders Cup Odds

Breeders’ Cup Saturday is here with nine Grade 1 races on tap at Keeneland with plenty of wide open races and great betting opportunities.

The marquee event is the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) which I broke down yesterday with my analysis, selections and wagering recommendations.

Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup races will be televised on the NBC Sports Network from 12:00 to 2:30 ET and then switch over to NBC from 2:30 to 6:00.

In addition, the action from Aqueduct will be televised on Saturday on FS2 from 10:30am to 4:30 ET.

Let’s break down the remaining Breeders’ Cup races on Saturday:

Race 4 The Breeders’ Cu Filly & Mare Sprint

The Bob Baffert trained Gamine is the betting favorite at +150 and her showdown with Serengeti Empress (+300) makes this race one of the most anticipated on Saturday.

The two fillies stand out in this field but what if they go at it early? The seven-furlong distance of the race could set things up for an off the pace type.

Come Dancing (+1600) fits the bill. She made a good late rally to win the Honorable Miss Handicap (G2) in her last outing and she is going to get overlooked in the betting.

Race 5 The Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

This five-furlong dash is one of the most wide open races over the two days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup.

The mare Got Stormy is the lukewarm early favorite at Bovada at +400. The mare ran a good second in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) last year and has shown she can sprint on turf, winning her last two starts.

Imprimis (+450) is coming off a game win in the Turf Sprint (G3) at Kentucky Downs over soft ground and Leinstar (+425) figures to take some action after he won the Shakertown (G2) and Woodford (G2), both of those wins coming over the Keeneland turf.

A live longshot is Extravagant Kid (+1600) who was a solid second in the Woodford in his last start. The seven-year-old is a seven-time winner at 5 ½ furlongs in his career.

Race 6 The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

Complexity is the +250 early betting favorite at Bovada and is coming off a huge win in the Kelso Handicap (G2) at Belmont Park in his last outing. The 10 post is not ideal, and his price may end up shorter.

Knicks Go (+400) has run back to back career top speed figures since landing in the Brad Cox barn and he has a good shot of taking this field gate to wire.

Mr Freeze (+900) and Art Collector (+750) may offer some value in the exotics.

Race 7 The Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf

Euro invaders have won this race in three of the last four years and there are several in this year’s race at prices that are worth a good look.

Among them is Cayenne Pepper (+1000) who has landed in the exacta in seven of her eight career starts overseas. She won the Blanford Stakes (G2) in her last start at the Curragh.

Audarya (+1200) was a solid third in the Prix de l’Opera (G1) at Longchamp and Peaceful (+800)  will likely bounce back off her 12th place finish in the Sun Chariot Stakes (G1) where she did not care much for the ground.

Race 8 The Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Yaupon is getting the early money at Bovada, bet down to +200. The colt is undefeated in four career starts, winning the Chick Lang (G3) at Pimlico in his last start. His trainer Steve Asmussen won this race last year with an equally fast runner in Mitole.

A runner that is going to end up offering more bang for the buck is Diamond Oops (+550) who won the Phoenix (G2) over the Keeneland main track.

The other logical major players in the race are the streaking C Z Rocket (+300) who has won five in a row and the filly Frank’s Rockette (+1000) who has won four in a  row and takes on the boys.

Race 9 The Breeders’ Cup Mile

Defending champ Uni (+600) is back and attempting to beat the boys again. She got a late start to her 2020 campaign and lost her first two races this year but put it together with a sharp win in the First Lady (G1) over the Keeneland turf in her last start.

However, there are others in here that look more attractive including the Euro invader Kameko (+450) who won the Joel Stakes (G2) in his last start. He won the 2000 Guineas (G1) back in June at Newmarket.

Raging Bull (+900) is coming off a runner up finish in the Shadwell Turf Mile (G1) and has trainer Chad Brown calling the shots and Ivar (+700) has earned three straight triple digit Beyers, winning the Shadwell Turf Mile in his last outing.

Race 10 The Breeders’ Cup Distaff

Preakness Stakes (G1) winner Swiss Skydiver (+225) and 2018 Distaff winner Monomoy Girl (+150) face off in one of the most anticipated races of the day.

Monomoy Girl was on the sidelines for over a year after her win in the 2018 Distaff and she has come back this year with three wins in a row and looks as good as ever.

Swiss Skydiver was being considered for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, but her connections elected to return to her face her own sex. The two are going to take most of the betting action.

If there is an upset, it could come from Valiance (+1400). She is coming off sharp win in the Spinster (G1) last out in just her second career start over a fast dirt surface. She tracked the early pace, took over the lead heading for home and held off a nice mare in Ollie's Candy, who had tun a triple digit Beyer running second in the Clement Hirsch (G1) in her previous start. The Spinster has produced 10 Distaff winners.

Race 11 The Breeders’ Cup Turf

The Chad Brown trained Bricks and Mortar snapped a four race winning streak for the Euro invaders last year. The Euros look tough this year.

Trainer Aiden O’Brien, who has won the Turf six times sends over the dynamic duo of Magical and Mogul.

Magical is the early betting favorite at Bovada at +275. The runner up of the 2018 Turf was third in the QIPCO Champion Stakes (G1) last out over turf she may not have cared for. Her Irish Champion Stakes (G1) win in her previous start was one of her best, beating the highly regarded Ghaiyyath in that win.

Her stablemate Mogul (+400) won the Grand Prix de Paris (G1) in his last outing. He takes on older foes here, but we have seen three-year-old Euro invaders win here including Found in 2015.

A Euro that may get overlooked is Tarnawa, who has won five of her last six starts. She won the Prix de l’Opera (G1) at Longchamp in her last outing. She is currently at +350 at Bovada but may end up going off a bit higher.

For selections and analysis for the Breeders’ Cup Classic click here.