Epicenter is definitely well-named as he has been at the “epicenter” of the Kentucky Derby odds since the futures betting opened recently.
With only a day now until the 148th running of the “most exciting two minutes in sport,” we see the Steve Asmussen-trained colt at the head of the racebook markets at +300 (3/1) and he looks sure to go off as the favorite come race day.
Need some help handicapping the Kentucky Derby odds? Joe Fortenbaugh weighs in with his horse racing betting strategies.
Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the Kentucky Derby odds and set Epicenter as the +300 favorite. He is followed closely by Taiba at +550, Zandon at +600, Messier at +600 and Mo Donegal at +1100 to round out the top five on the oddsboard.
Also, if you’re new to horse racing betting, we have a great How to Bet on the Kentucky Derby guide that breaks down win, place & show betting as well as exacta and trifecta and other Kentucky Derby prop bets.
So looking ahead and taking a view of the field, which looks sure to be the maximum of 20 starters, let’s go through and see what’s happening, and what the trainers are saying about recent workouts for some of the big players, and then where some value lies in the horses outside of the favorite.
2022 Kentucky Derby Odds
The top 10 betting favorites in the 2022 Kentucky Derby betting odds are shown below.
Odds as of May 7 at Bovada
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2022 Kentucky Derby Post Positions
|4||Summer is Tomorrow|
|9||Tiz The Bomb|
|11||Pioneer of Medina|
The post positions are important as certain starting spots have had great success in winning the derby. For example, post position 5 (Smile Happy +1600) has had 10 winners, which is the most of any spot, whereas post position 17 has never had a winner – not good news for Classic Causeway (+5000).
Here’s a look at how the various Kentucky Derby post positions have fared through history.
|Post Position||Number Of Kentucky Derby Winners|
Kentucky Derby Odds: Betting Favorites
White Abarrio +1200
After his recent win, it was back to work for the flying gray son of Race Day who at his home track of Gulfstream Park started his final prep for the Derby with one of three scheduled drills.
This was just an easy three-furlong breeze for the recent Florida Derby winner, and he was partnered not by regular jockey Tyler Gaffalione but by Junior Alvarado. He went an easy three furlongs in 34.49 followed by a very impressive-looking gallop out for the eagerly assembled onlookers.
He moved away from the half-mile pole at sharper than a two-minute race pace before starting his official clock at the three-eighths marker, while wasting little time flashing his speed over the fast track conditions and posting an 11.34 opening furlong.
He was still in hand when passing through the wire, and clocked a strong 47.48 for the four furlongs before easing through the five-eighths mark in 1:00.52.
“That was super,” trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. said immediately afterward. “I wanted a decent three-eighths with an extended gallop out and that’s what we got.”
Zandon, one of the main players in this year’s race, had a recent workout and under his exercise rider Kriss Bon in the irons worked a solo breeze, going half a mile in 48 3/5 seconds. He went through the five-furlong mark in 1:00 4/5.
The times are nothing spectacular, but that is to be expected.
“He was just moving super, what we were looking to see,” trainer Chad Brown said after the spin. “I wanted to stretch his legs, evaluate how he’s moving, and maintain where he’s at. I was really impressed with how he galloped out, really reaching and happy, with his ears up.”
Zandon looks well on course for the Run for the Roses.
Messier, another high up in the betting, had his first major workout since finishing behind Taiba in the Santa Anita Derby and trainer Tim Yakteen (taken the horse over from the Bob Baffert barn) was very happy with what he saw.
Messier went a strong five furlongs under Drayden Van Dyke in 59.80 seconds on a track that was riding genuinely fast over a surface that produced some fast drills.
The workout was really to keep the horse ticking over onto the big day.
He cruised along from the half-mile pole with the Santa Anita clockers getting him hitting the wire at a respectable 47.20, and worked another furlong past the finish to clock 59.80 with Yakteen saying he clocked him at six furlongs in 1:12.
The whole idea of the workout was to “let him stretch his legs, keep the air in his lungs, and keep our tank full,” Yakteen said. “That was accomplished. We’re very happy with the drill. He was doing it comfortably, doing it within himself, Drayden had plenty of horse.”
Messier’s attribute is speed so tactics will surely be to get a good stalking position early and make a move on the far turn.
The runner-up finish by Messier in the Santa Anita Derby was his first start in two months so he is entitled to strip fitter for the big one; it looks like a plan is coming to the boil nicely.
2022 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds: Long Shots
Tiz The Bomb +3300
Why this horse has such big odds is difficult to understand. He sits fifth in the Kentucky Derby qualification points rankings and was a very impressive winner last time.
His win in the Jeff Ruby was very impressive beating Tawny Port, and he was all wrapped up at the wire to win with something to spare. He traveled oh so smoothly and his ability to stalk a fast pace could be a potent weapon come the big race.
Tawny Port +5000
The Brad Cox runner had previously run poorly on dirt but trainer Brad Cox sent him to the Lexington Stakes on a fact-finding mission to see two things. One, would he act on the surface, and two, does he have the class for the Kentucky Derby?
Both questions were answered emphatically as he traveled nicely in a stalking position mid-pack before moving three wide on the far turn and taking it up to move away on the run to the wire. He looks like one still floating under the radar for the big one on May 7.
Kentucky Derby Winners History
If you’re looking for what the Kentucky Derby winning times have been in recent years, we have them listed below along with each of the winning horses over the last 10 years – a handy tool when selecting a Kentucky Derby prop bet.
|2012||I’ll Have Another||2:01.83|
Kentucky Derby 2022 Odds FAQ
Who won the 2021 Kentucky Derby?
Medina Spirit won the 2021 Kentucky Derby but was later disqualified and thus Mandaloun with odds of +1200 won the Run for the Roses last year. With no Bob Baffert horses in the running this year, there are plenty of Kentucky Derby picks to be found.
Which horse is favored to win the 2022 Kentucky Derby?
Epicenter is the favorite to win the 2022 Kentucky Derby with odds of +300 or 3/1. While that horse is the favorite, there are plenty of other Kentucky Derby betting options out there. See other 2022 Kentucky Derby horse contenders here.
What prop bets can I make on the Kentucky Derby?
You can make all kinds of Kentucky Derby prop bets. At the Run for the Roses, you can place wagers on what color of the winning horse will be and what will be the winning race time among other options.
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Horse Racing News
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