Pete Alonso's Mets are favored in the Nationals vs Mets odds

AL & NL Pennant Odds & Picks: Are The Mets A Threat?

What's the greatest accomplishment in baseball, but still one step short of a World Series win? It's the AL and NL Pennants, of course. 

In 2025, the Yankees (+380) are favored in the AL Pennant odds, while the Dodgers (+135) are the clear favorite in the NL Pennant race.

Remember, when you're betting on AL and NL Pennant odds, you're picking the club that will make the World Series, not the squad with the best regular-season record.

AL Pennant Odds

Odds To Win MLB - ALCS Championship 2025
TeamsOdds
NY Yankees+250
Baltimore Orioles+550
Houston Astros+700
Boston Red Sox+750
Texas Rangers+900
Cleveland Guardians+1200
Detroit Tigers+1200
Seattle Mariners+1200
Minnesota Twins+1400
Kansas City Royals+1800
Toronto Blue Jays+2000
Tampa Bay Rays+2200
LA Angels+8000
Oakland None+8000
Chi White Sox+25000

Odds as of March 13th, 2025 12:20pm EDT.

Why are the Yankees favored in the AL Pennant Odds?

The Yankees reigned supreme in 2024, finishing 94-68 and taking the AL East title along with the AL Pennant. New York didn't find success in the Fall Classic, but still was a dominant team for most of the campaign. On that dominance alone, it's easy to see why NY is favored to repeat as AL champs. Aaron Judge is locked in for another season, and the Yanks replaced Juan Soto's production with adds like Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger. All fine and dandy there.

I'm not so bullish on the Bombers, especially after an injury-riddled spring training. The club's ace Gerrit Cole is out for the season, and Giancarlo Stanton may also face a similar fate. Reigning AL ROTY Luis Gil is also out three months, leaving Max Fried to headline the Yanks rotation. 

New York will be in the mix for the AL Pennant, but I'm looking elsewhere on the board.

AL Pennant Odds: Value Pick - Red Sox (+700)

The addition of Alex Bregman puts the Red Sox in an excellent position to contend for the AL pennant in 2025. With Jarren Duran blossoming into a potential MVP-caliber player, Boston gains an electrifying presence at the top of its lineup. This is the first time in years the team has showcased genuine depth, pairing Bregman and Rafael Devers with a rejuvenated supporting cast. Combined with its improved pitching rotation, Boston possesses the talent and firepower to outshine its American League rivals.

It's funny to see the Red Sox third on the AL Pennant odds board (even though that's probably where they belong), as it suggests to me the Junior Circuit isn't as strong as years past. Boston is good value at +700, as its strong lineup and decent bullpen give the club an edge over AL East squads, for example. Injuries to Kutter Crawford, Brayan Bello, and Lucas Giolito put a damper on the first month of the season, but those ailments shouldn't be a long-term issue.

NL Pennant Odds

Odds To Win MLB - NLCS Championship 2025
TeamsOdds
LA Dodgers+140
Atlanta Braves+475
NY Mets+600
Philadelphia Phillies+625
Arizona Diamondbacks+1200
Chi Cubs+1400
San Diego Padres+1400
Milwaukee Brewers+2200
San Francisco Giants+2500
Cincinnati Reds+3300
St. Louis Cardinals+5500
Pittsburgh Pirates+6500
Washington Nationals+8500
Miami Marlins+15000
Colorado Rockies+30000

Odds as of March 18th, 2025 16:46pm EDT.

Why are the Dodgers favored in the NL Pennant Odds?

Cha-ching. That's the sound of the Dodgers breaking the bank for any and every big-name free agent this offseason. This winter, Los Angeles signed Roki Sasaki, Blake Snell, Teoscar Hernandez, Tanner Scott, Kirby Yates, and Michael Conforto. The club also re-signed Tommy Edman, Clayton Kershaw, and Blake Treinen. 

There are grand expectations in the City of Angels, making the Dodgers the current World Series favorites. MLB win total projections anticipate the Dodgers soaring north of 100 wins in 2025, too. L.A. is the clear favorite for the NL Pennant, and if patience is your preference, invest in the Dodgers at +135.

NL Pennant Odds: Value Pick - Mets (+550)

The Mets’ rotation has that perfect mix of experienced vets and prime-aged stars, making it one of the most balanced in the league. With Francisco Lindor leading a rock-solid defense, this squad is built to keep runs off the board in the always-tough NL East. Throw in Juan Soto’s game-breaking bat, and you’ve got a lineup that can hang with anyone.

Plus, with so much parity in the National League this year, the Mets don’t need to be flawless to make a deep run. At +550 odds, there’s some juicy value here for a team built to handle the grind and take a real shot at the pennant.

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