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Diamondbacks Aiming to Pull Out of Losing Slide vs Padres

The San Diego Padres are looking to complete a three-game sweep of the slumping Arizona Diamondbacks and they are favored to do so at -135, with Arizona coming back at +115. Merrill Kelly and Eric Lauer toe the slab in this contest with both holding elevated ERAs. The total opened at 8 runs.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Arizona is 5-11 SU and 7-9 ATS over its last 16 contests and is currently on a four-game losing skid. The Diamondbacks are 14-11 in road games this season.
  • San Diego is 7-8 SU and 5-10 ATS through its last 15 matches and is looking for its first three-game winning streak since it won five in a row in late April. The Padres are 13-14 at Petco Park this year.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Arizona’s last 13 contests with an average combined score of 7.38. Meanwhile, the total has gone OVER in nine of San Diego’s last 16 matches with an average combined score of 8.69.
  • The Diamondbacks are 4-5 over Merrill Kelly’s nine trips to the mound this season and he is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. He has also tossed four quality starts this year.
  • He is averaging 7.01 K/9, 3.16 BB/9 and 1.40 HR/9 through the first nine starts of his major league career.
  • Opponents are hitting .270 against Kelly and of that contact, 17.1 percent has been soft-hit and 38.4 percent has been hard-hit. The Padres rank eighth in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs RHP this month.
  • Kelly has struggled on the road, sporting a 6.53 ERA, walking 14 batters over just 20.2 innings and allowing opponents to hit .284 against him. He has made three day starts and has gone 1-2 with a 2.65 ERA, limiting opponents to a .234 batting average.
  • The Diamondbacks are 1-1 over Kelly’s two starts vs the Padres this season, in which he has posted a 5.73 ERA and yielded a .295 opponent batting average.
  • The Padres are 4-5 over Eric Lauer’s nine starts this year and he is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. He has just one quality start and it came in his season debut against San Francisco.
  • He is averaging fewer K/9 and BB/9 than in his rookie campaign last year, but his HR/9 has risen from 1.21 to 1.36. Although he has a 5.24 ERA, his FIP is a little more respectable at 4.31.
  • Opponents are hitting .275 against Lauer, which is six points lower than last year. Of the contact against, 18.5 percent has been soft-hit and 39.7 percent has been hard-hit. Arizona ranks fifth in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs southpaws in May.
  • Lauer is much better at home than on the road, sporting a modest 3.04 ERA and holding opponents to a .275 batting average. In day games, he is 1-1 in three starts with a 2.70 ERA and opponents are hitting .233.
  • The Padres are 0-2 in Lauer’s two starts vs the Diamondbacks this year and he holds a 6.30 ERA and a .378 opponent batting average.
  • Arizona is 9-9 against left-handed starters this season, ranking third in batting average and first in runs scored against southpaws. More recently, the Diamondbacks rank seventh in batting average and fifth in runs scored vs LHP this month.
  • San Diego is 21-19 against right-handed starters this year, sitting 24th in batting average and 22nd in runs scored against RHP. In May, the Padres rank 19th in batting average and 18th in runs scored vs righties.

My Best Bet for Arizona vs San Diego

Arizona Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have done a great job jumping on southpaws this season, leading the majors in runs scored against LHP. Meanwhile, the Padres have had their difficulties against righties, ranking 22nd in MLB in runs scored. Arizona is 2-0 against Eric Lauer this season and he is sporting a 6.30 ERA and an elevated .378 opponent batting average over those two appearances.

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