The Atlanta Braves (64-46) travel to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (54-56) on Tuesday in the opener of a two-game set. The Braves are 1-5 in their last six outings while the Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five contests. Find out which club will get back into the win column in our Braves vs Red Sox prediction.
Braves vs Red Sox Opening Odds Analysis
The Braves opened as the road favorite at -147 on the moneyline with the Red Sox coming in at +110 at home. The total was set at nine runs with the OVER going 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between the two clubs. Atlanta is 5-1 in its last six games at Fenway Park – another reason to like the visitors for your Braves vs Red Sox prediction.
Rich Hill (4-5) looks to rebound for the Red Sox after a couple rough outings. The 42-year-old was rocked for six hits and four earned runs over just three innings of work in his last start against the Houston Astros on August 3. The southpaw owns a 4.52 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 73.2 innings this season.
The Braves are set to counter with Charlie Morton (5-5), who will try to pick up his first win in nearly a month. The right-hander was fantastic in his last start on August 3 against the Philadelphia Phillies but was saddled with a no-decision despite allowing just three hits over 6.2 scoreless innings. Morton has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP through 116.2 innings.
Braves Offense Comes Up Short Again In Loss To Mets
The Braves lost their third straight to the New York Mets on Sunday, falling 5-2 in the series finale. Spencer Strider was pulled after allowing six hits and four earned runs through just 2.2 innings of work, while Atlanta was held off the board until the sixth inning when Dansby Swanson hit a two-run shot – one of just two hits for the Braves in the ballgame.
Atlanta has relied on its sixth-ranked offense all season long (4.75 runs per game), but the runs have been hard to come by over the last week. The Braves are scoring just 2.33 runs per game in their last five losses. Austin Riley, who inked a lucrative 10-year contract last week, has just two RBI and no home runs in his last nine appearances.
Red Sox Slammed For 13 Runs Against Royals
The Red Sox were routed in their last game as they fell 13-5 to the Kansas City Royals on Sunday. With Kansas City up 5-0, Rafael Devers hit a solo shot in the sixth and Tommy Pham hit a two-run blast in the seventh to make it 5-3. The Royals, however, replied with eight more runs in the seventh and eighth innings to blow it open and seal the win.
Boston hit a rut back in early July and hasn’t really recovered, falling from the first Wild Card spot on June 30 to now sitting 4.5 games back from the last Wild Card spot in the American League. Devers and Xander Bogaerts have been two of the lone bright spots for the club. Devers has five homers and nine RBI over his last 12 games while Bogaerts has two home runs and eight RBI in his last 10 contests.
Braves vs Red Sox Pick & Insights
Braves: Keys To Victory
The Braves need to get their offense rolling again and Tuesday’s matchup is the perfect opportunity to do so. Hill has given up nine hits and seven earned runs over his last two starts combined – a total of just 7.2 innings. If Atlanta’s bats can get to Boston’s starter early, it could be a fun night for the Braves.
Red Sox: Keys To Victory
The Red Sox don’t have a ton going for them offensively either, so they’ll be relying on Hill to hopefully give them a quality start. The good news for Boston is that if Hill pitches into the sixth inning, it usually means he had a good game – though that’s only happened in four of his 16 starts this season.
MLB Computer Pick: UNDER 9.5 Runs
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