The Atlanta Braves (65-46) improved to 6-1 SU in their last seven road games against the Boston Red Sox (54-57) after beating the Red Sox 9-7 on Tuesday night. The Braves will try to keep things rolling this Wednesday night in Boston by cashing in as a Braves vs Red Sox prediction favorite.
Braves vs Red Sox Odds & Analysis
The Braves opened as -175 favorites before betting action on Boston as the preferred Braves vs Red Sox prediction in this interleague matchup moved the line down to Atlanta -140. Boston is going off as a +130 home underdog and the total has settled in at nine runs after opening at 9.5 runs. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six games between the Braves and Red Sox.
Kyle Wright had one of his worst starts of the season last Thursday night, pitching six innings and allowing six earned runs and four home runs in a 6-4 Braves loss to the New York Mets. Despite the rough night, Wright still carries a 13-5 record, a 3.22 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP and 124 strikeouts in 128.2 innings pitched this season into Wednesday night's start.
Nick Pivetta pitched five innings and allowed seven hits and three earned runs in Boston's 7-3 loss to the Kansas City Royals last Thursday night. Pivetta has compiled an 8.69 ERA over his last start, driving his season totals up to a 4.51 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.
Atlanta Has Been Struggling On The Road
Austin Riley went 3-for-5 with a home run and five RBI in Atlanta's 9-7 win over the Red Sox on Tuesday night. Prior to that win, the Braves were just 3-7 SU over their last 10 road games including three straight losses to the New York Mets on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Pitching has been a major issue for the Braves during their recent road slump as the club has allowed 6.43 runs per game over its last seven road games. Bettors taking Atlanta as their Braves vs Red Sox prediction on Wednesday will be hoping that Kyle Wright can bounce back from his last poor road outing with a strong start in this one.
Boston Doesn't Show Much Bite As An Underdog
The Red Sox scored seven runs on Tuesday night and still found themselves in the loss column against the Braves. Boston pulled off three upsets in a row including two road wins over the Houston Astros at the beginning of August, but the Red Sox have gone 0-2 SU as an underdog since then and were 2-10 SU in their previous 12 instances as one.
The club also fell to 3-8 SU in its last 11 home games with Tuesday night's loss. Boston had a 45-35 SU record through its first 80 games this season, but injuries and bad pitching over the team's last 31 games have led to a 9-22 SU spiral out of contention.
Braves vs Red Sox Pick & Insights
Braves: Keys to Victory
While the Braves would have loved to do better than their 1-4 SU record in their five road games against the New York Mets last week, it's still worth noting that this slump came on the road against a legitimate World Series contender. Atlanta was 40-15 SU in its 55 games prior to that series and is a clear step above this Boston team as a Braves vs Red Sox prediction.
Red Sox: Keys to Victory
The Red Sox are 4-0 SU in the last four games that they've surrendered four earned runs or less and are 0-14 SU in the last 14 games they've allowed five runs or more in. Nick Pivetta and the Red Sox bullpen have to step up to give this offense a chance at pulling off an upset as a Braves vs Red Sox pick on Wednesday night.
MLB Computer Pick: Braves -140
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jcostigan Sun, Sep 25, 5:59am