The Philadelphia Phillies, who rank in the top five in baseball in runs, batting average and on-base percentage, have yet to solve the riddle that is Brandon McCarthy. Yes, the 34-year-old innings-eater who was expected to be little more than a living human being in the Atlanta Braves rotation. McCarthy has posted a 2.25 ERA in three starts against the Phillies this season while notching more strikeouts (17) than hits allowed (16). Can McCarthy keep the Braves atop the NL East when he starts Tuesday?
- Vince Velasquez has a 9.24 ERA in 3 starts vs the Braves this season.
- The Braves are 11-2 SU in their last 13 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Phillies’ last 9 games.
The Phillies will counter with Vince Velasquez, who has been on a heater during the month of May. The righty has a 2.08 ERA with 10.9 K/9IP across his last three starts, allowing just four runs in 17.1 innings. Velasquez has faced the Braves three times already this season and it has not been pretty for Phillies fans, with the 25-year-old posting a 9.24 ERA while allowing Atlanta to hit .397.
Tuesday will mark the 11th time this season the Braves and Phillies have squared off, with Atlanta holding the slight 6-4 edge in the first 10. The Braves have held the edge in terms of batting – the team is slashing .268/.339/.410 vs Philadelphia this season – but plenty of that offense came from Ryan Flaherty and Preston Tucker, who have both cooled off after starting the season red-hot.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans looking to pick the visiting Atlanta Braves before the first pitch in this match found them as +122 moneyline underdogs earlier today at Sportsbook. They saw the OVER/UNDER total of 9 earlier at Sportsbook.
OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.9-4.4 win for the Phillies on Tuesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Philadelphia Phillies sport a record of 27-18 heading into this matchup, while the Atlanta Braves sit at 28-18 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Philadelphia vs Atlanta injuries news.
The Philadelphia-Atlanta odds would favor the Braves if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Philadelphia is rated No. 12 in the current OddsShark poll, while Atlanta is at No. 6.
Statistical Matchup
On offense, it's a battle of the Philadelphia Phillies and their No. 10-rated batting order, averaging 4.64 runs per nine innings, against the No. 4 lineup of the Atlanta Braves at 5.28 runs per outing.
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Philadelphia has the No. 8-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Braves own the No. 9 mark in runs allowed.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Braves were shut out in their last start, struggling to get much going against the Philadelphia staff and losing 3-0 to the Phillies on Monday at Citizens Bank Park.
- Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
- Atlanta is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
- Atlanta is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
- Philadelphia is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games
- Philadelphia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
- Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Atlanta at Philadelphia, Wednesday, May 23
