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Astros Look To Take Game 1 Of World Series

Kyle Tucker's Astros are favored in the Atlanta vs Houston odds for Game 1.

The Houston Astros are poised to make their third World Series appearance since 2017 as they take on the Atlanta Braves, who have not been in the Fall Classic since 1999. Game 1 goes at Minute Maid Park in Houston where the Astros are favored to take the early lead.

Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros
  • Date/Time: October 26, 8:09 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park
  • TV Coverage: FOX, FOX-INT
  • Opening Odds: Astros -141 | O/U 8 (Line History)
  • Braves vs Astros Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Astros come into Game 1 as the home favorites at -141 on the moneyline while the visiting Braves sit at +114. The total is set at 8 runs with the UNDER going 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Framber Valdez holds a 1-0 record with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP through three starts this postseason. The left-hander pitched a gem in his last outing, giving up just three hits and one earned run over eight innings in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series against Boston. Valdez went 11-6 through 22 starts in the regular season with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP.

Charlie Morton is 0-1 through three starts in these playoffs with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Atlanta’s ace last pitched in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series against the Dodgers, allowing three hits and two earned runs over five innings. Morton went 14-6 in 33 starts this season with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.

Houston News & Notes

The Astros come into the World Series with all kinds of momentum after winning three straight contests over the Red Sox to take the ALCS in six games. Not only did they win those games, but they also outscored Boston 23-3 in the process. After looking very beatable in Games 2 and 3 of that series, the Astros returned to form and are now looking like the favorites to win their second World Series title.

Offense has been the key all year long for Houston, which finished first in the majors at 5.33 runs per game. That theme has carried into the playoffs where the Astros have actually improved up to a whopping 6.7 runs per game, thanks to major contributions from Kyle Tucker (4 HRs, 15 RBIs) and Yordan Alvarez (2 HRs, 9 RBIs).

Atlanta News & Notes

While the Astros cruised through much of the season, the Braves had a much more tumultuous path – in fact, they were below .500 at the all-star break at 44-45. Despite losing Ronald Acuna Jr. right around that time, Atlanta rallied from August onward, posting a 36-19 record through the last two months to take the top spot in the NL East.

Deadline addition Eddie Rosario has been a huge part of Atlanta’s success, particularly in the playoffs, as he leads the club in hits (18), home runs (3) and RBIs (11). The outfielder was named NLCS MVP as he almost single-handedly took down the defending World Series champion Dodgers, posting 14 hits and nine RBIs over six games.

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How Houston Will Win

We know that the Astros have the big bats, but now they’ve got their mojo back as well. Things were looking iffy early on in the ALCS against Boston, but they turned it around and piled up 23 runs over the last three games to take the series. It’s hard to bet against that kind of dominance.

How Atlanta Will Win

The Braves have been the perfect underdog story all season long: they sputtered through the first half of the season, lost Ronald Acuna Jr. for the year and were the clear underdog against the Dodgers in the NLCS. Against all the odds, they made it to the World Series – so what’s stopping them from winning it?

Computer Pick: Astros -130

For all the 2021 World Series predictions, see our MLB Computer Picks page.

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Shark Bites
  • Houston is 5-0 in its last 5 games vs Atlanta.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in Houston’s last 9 games.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 games.