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Astros Look To Even Up World Series In Game 6

Martin Maldonado and the Astros are even with the Braves in World Series Game 6 betting odds.

The Houston Astros came out on top against the Atlanta Braves in a must-win Game 5 on Sunday to keep their World Series hopes alive. The best-of-seven now goes back to Houston where the Astros can tie up the series at 3-3, while the Braves will look to claim their first championship since 1995.

Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros
  • Date/Time: November 2, 8:09 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park
  • TV Coverage: FOX, FOX-INT
  • Opening Odds: Astros/Braves -109 | O/U 8.5 (Line History)
  • Braves vs Astros Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

With both teams getting -109 on the moneyline as of Monday evening, Game 6 is a virtual toss-up at least according to the books. We could certainly see some movement before first pitch, likely favoring the home team. The total is set at 8.5 runs with the UNDER going 10-5 in the last 15 meetings between the teams.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

The Astros haven’t officially named a starter but all signs point to Luis Garcia getting the nod for Game 6 on short rest. The 24-year-old pitched in Game 3, giving up three hits and one run over 3.2 innings. He is 1-2 this postseason through four starts with a 7.62 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. In the regular season, Garcia went 11-8 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.

Max Fried will take the mound on short rest as well for the Braves. The left-hander started Game 2, allowing seven hits and six runs over five innings. Fried is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over four starts in the playoffs. He posted a 14-7 record through 28 regular-season starts with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP.

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Houston News & Notes

The Astros needed a classic performance to stay alive in the series and that’s exactly what they delivered in Game 5. After going down 4-0 in the first inning, Houston responded with four runs over the next two frames.

Down 5-4 in the fifth, the Astros pulled even when Martin Maldonado drew a bases-loaded walk. Marwin Gonzalez came up next and hit a two-run single to give Houston a lead it would not relinquish.

Michael Brantley and Kyle Tucker led the offensive charge with two RBIs apiece. Starter Framber Valdez went just 2.2 innings after giving up four hits and five earned runs, but Houston’s five relievers combined to allow just four hits and no runs over 6.1 innings.

Atlanta News & Notes

It looked like a dream start for the Braves as Adam Duvall hit a first-inning grand slam to put Atlanta up 4-0 early. After Houston tied the game up, Freddie Freeman hit a solo home run in the third to retake the lead, but that’s all the offense Atlanta could muster.

Pitching has been the Braves’ strength in the series but it was their demise in Game 5. Starter Tucker Davidson went two innings, giving up two hits and two earned runs. Up 4-2 in the third, Jesse Chavez gave up two runs to surrender the lead. Then A.J. Minter, who has been so reliable through these playoffs, allowed three more runs in just an inning of work.

How Houston Will Win

It’s clear what Houston’s path to success in this series will be: outslug the Braves. The Astros have averaged 8.00 runs over their two wins and just 1.33 runs in their three losses. If the bats stay hot, there’s a good chance we’ll be seeing a Game 7 in this World Series.

How Atlanta Will Win

Fried has been poor over his last two starts, allowing a combined 15 hits and 11 earned runs over 9.2 innings. If the Braves are going to close out the series in Game 6, they’ll need to limit Houston’s offensive output, meaning both Fried and the bullpen will have to bring their A-game.

Computer Pick: Braves ML (+115)

For more World Series Game 6 predictions, visit our MLB Computer Picks page.

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Shark Bites
  • Houston is 7-2 in its last 9 home games.
  • Atlanta is 1-4 in its last 5 games at Houston.
  • The OVER is 12-6 in Houston’s last 18 games.