The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves begin a three-game NL East series both riding five-game winning streaks and the Mets are a -175 favorite to extend their streak with the Braves coming back at +185. Jacob deGrom gets the ball for New York while Mike Foltynewicz counters for Atlanta, with the total Sportsbook at 7.5 runs.
Standout Stats
- Atlanta is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 contests and more recently is riding a five-game winning streak. The Braves are 38-25 away from home this season.
- New York is 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS through its last 10 games and has also won five straight games. The Mets are 36-21 at Citi Field this year.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Braves’ last nine matches with an average combined score of 8.67. Similarly, the total has gone UNDER in five of the Mets’ last nine with an average combined score of 9.11.
- The Mets are 10-15 through Jacob deGrom’s last 25 trips to the mound and he is 8-7 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He has tossed 18 quality starts this year.
- He is averaging the highest K/9 rate of his career, while his BB/9 and HR/9 rates are around his career average.
- Opponents are hitting .215 against deGrom this season and of the contact against, 22.5 percent has been soft-hit and 33.9 percent has been hard-hit. The Braves rank seventh in hard-hit percentage vs RHP over the last 30 days.
- DeGrom has a 2.96 ERA and a .210 opponent batting average over his 12 home starts and is averaging higher BB/9 and HR/9 rates compared to his road outings. Also, he has lower soft-hit and hard-hit percentages at home.
- The Braves are 7-7 behind Mike Foltynewicz this season and he is 4-5 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. He has tossed four quality starts in 2019.
- He is averaging the highest HR/9 rate of his career while his K/9 and BB/9 rates are around his career average.
- Opponents are hitting .275 against Foltynewicz this year and of the batted balls against, 41.8 percent have been hard-hit and 17.3 percent are soft-hit. The Mets rank sixth in hard-hit percentage vs RHP over the last 30 days.
- Foltynewicz has a 6.21 ERA and .282 opponent batting average over his six road outings. He is averaging lower K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates compared to his home appearances. Lastly, he has a slightly higher hard-hit percentage on the road while his soft-hit percentage remains the same.
- The Mets are 53-43 against right-handed starters this season and rank 12th in batting average and 16th in runs scored vs righties. Meanwhile, New York is sixth in batting average and fourth in runs scored vs RHP over the last 30 days.
- The Braves are 57-42 against right-handed starters in 2019, sitting eighth in batting average and fourth in runs scored vs RHP. Over the last 30 days, Atlanta is seventh in batting average and eighth in runs scored vs righties.
My Best Bet for Atlanta vs New York
OVER 7.5
Both teams have been hitting the ball well recently and as for the starters, deGrom is better on the road than he is at home, while Foltynewicz is a bit of a disaster on the road. I think that both teams will get their opportunities to score but the Mets should be able to put up a crooked number on Foltynewicz and carry the OVER.
