Not all Major League Baseball parks are created equal. It’s part of what makes baseball unique and entertaining – the weird outfield walls in Boston, the thin air in Colorado, the massive outfield in San Diego.
But how do we take advantage of these different parks in our MLB betting? Well, when it comes to run totals, there are some clear OVER/UNDER differences across baseball this season. Below, we break down which parks have been the best for OVER bettors this season and how you can take advantage of the 2022 MLB stadium betting trends.
2022 Best OVER Ballparks In Baseball
|Stadium||Home Team||OVER Record||Profits|
|Great American Ball Park||Reds||22-13-0||+$739.04|
Data courtesy of Odds Shark’s database for the 2022 season
If you bet $100 on every game at Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park this year, you’d be up $739.04. One interesting note is that all the league’s best OVER stadiums are in the National League. The addition of the NL DH could be throwing some line-setting algorithms off early in 2022.
Bet The OVER At Great American
It’s nice when common logic is backed up with betting trends, and that’s what we’re seeing here with Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park ranking as the top OVER stadium in MLB. Great American has been a top-five park for offensive numbers in each of the last three seasons and is the most offensive stadium in the league in 2022, per ESPN’s Park Factors.
Visiting teams are hitting well in Cincinnati too, but the OVER nature of Great American can be seen in the Reds’ offensive success at home. Great American has made Brandon Drury a potential 35-homer hitter and Tommy Pham is on pace for 25 dingers. The Reds are hitting 40 points higher in batting average at home and have a .776 home OPS compared to a .611 mark on the road.
UNDERs At Petco
On the other side of these rankings is the best UNDER park in baseball, residing in San Diego. The Padres’ Petco Park has hit UNDER in 23 of 37 games to start the season. Like Great American, it’s fitting the pervasive narrative as it’s long been seen as a huge pitchers’ park.
Best OVER Ballparks - Last 5 Years
|Great American Ball Park||155-137-13|
Data courtesy of Odds Shark’s database
Great American Ball Park is a haven for runs. It’s been the best OVER park in 2022 and it’s been the best for the last five seasons. Beyond GABP, though, some interesting parks are at the top of the recent rankings.
Only Great American, Fenway and Angel Stadium have been consistently profitable for OVER bettors the last five seasons. The worst OVERs park, Detroit’s Comerica Park, has an OVER betting record of 131-164-15 in the last five seasons and -$4,406.92 profits for $100 bettors over that time.
Is Coors Field Actually An OVERs Park?
While Great American is clearly the home for run scorers, Colorado’s Coors Field is often cited as the most offensive park in baseball. But, it’s actually been one of the worst parks for OVER bettors in recent years.
In the last five seasons, Coors ranks as the fourth-least profitable park for OVER bettors in baseball, with a 140-164-10 record. If you had bet $100 on the OVER on every game at Coors, you would’ve lost $3,671.49 during that time. So maybe check your anti-Coors bias and sprinkle the Colorado UNDER from time to time over at Bovada:
How To Bet On MLB OVER/UNDERs
There are three main ways to bet on MLB, in the form of moneyline betting, runline betting or total runs. To take advantage of this ballpark OVER/UNDER data, you’ll have to focus on that third option, run totals.
In an MLB run total bet, you’re betting on whether both teams will combine to score OVER or UNDER a set number of runs in a game. At the sportsbook, you’ll notice MLB OVER/UNDER odds are listed like this for a fictional Jays/Twins game:
In this example, if you believe that the Twins and Jays will combine to score OVER 8.5 runs (if the score is, for example, 5-4 Toronto), you would win $190.91 on a $100 bet – your initial $100 wager plus $90.91 in profit. Check out our odds calculator to see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered, as well as the implied probability of all odds.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.