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New York Has Lost Its Last Three Games vs Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Odds

The New York Yankees were 19-0 in their previous 19 games against the Baltimore Orioles before going 0-3 in their three games against the Orioles over the weekend. The Yankees will try to get back to their winning ways against Baltimore in a four-game series starting Thursday night in New York.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
  • Date/Time: September 10, 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • TV Coverage: ESPN+
  • Opening Odds: Yankees -255 | O/U 8.5 runs (Line History)
  • Orioles vs Yankees Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Yankees opened as -255 favorites and the line has mostly stayed the same with New York now going off at -250 and Baltimore paying +210 as a road underdog. The total has also remained steady at 8.5 runs. The Orioles closed as a +220 underdog when this same pitching matchup took place in Baltimore last Saturday and Baltimore won 6-1.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Keegan Akin worked his way around four walks last Saturday against the Yankees, allowing only three hits and no runs with eight strikeouts in 5.1 innings. In two starts and four total appearances so far in his rookie season, Akin holds an impressive 2.08 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP.

Only one of the five runs that Gerrit Cole allowed last Saturday against Baltimore was an earned run, which allowed him to lower his season ERA from 3.91 to 3.63. But the loss was the fourth straight that the Yankees have suffered with Cole on the mound, and opposing teams have scored at least four runs in each of his last three starts.

Baltimore News & Notes

Since losing five straight games at the end of August, the Orioles are 6-3 over their last nine games, including a 2-2 record against the New York Mets and a 3-1 record against the Yankees.

Baltimore’s offense has scored at least five runs in each of the team’s last six games and is averaging 6.5 runs per game over that stretch. The Orioles have earned wins on the runline in each of their last two outright losses and are 28-14 against the spread this season.

Baltimore’s recent surge and New York’s skid has the Orioles at 20-22 and sitting just 1.5 games behind the Yankees (22-21) in the American League East. The Orioles enter this road series with a 15-4 ATS record on the road.

New York News & Notes

The Yankees snapped a five-game losing streak and avoided a series sweep with a 7-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday night. New York’s 16-6 start has been washed away by a 6-15 run over the team’s last 21 games.

Gerrit Cole was signed to a nine-year, $324-million contract this offseason to be a sure-thing ace every five days to stop slumps like this, but even he has struggled.

New York is 14-7 at home this season and gets 10 of its last 17 regular-season games at Yankee Stadium. These four games against Baltimore were circled as easy wins a month ago, but here in September they present a legitimate challenge.

Betting Pick: Baltimore +210

We picked Baltimore last week when the Orioles upset the Yankees with Cole on the mound based purely on the value of the price. The same logic applies here. New York should be favored in this game, but not at such a massive price given the current form of these two teams. The value is once again on the Orioles as a moneyline or runline wager.

Shark Bites
  • Baltimore is 0-6 in its last 6 road games vs New York.
  • New York is 3-6 in its last 9 home games.
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in New York’s last 5 games.