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O's Starting Pitching Has Been Leading to Fireworks

Baltimore might just have the worst starting pitching in baseball and although a few of the guys in the rotation have had good starts recently, it hasn’t improved. Ubaldo Jimenez (3-3, 6.48 ERA) will take the bump for the O’s on America’s birthday so those in attendance could be treated to some premature fireworks at Miller Park tonight.

  • The Brewers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Orioles have given up 5 or more runs in 20 of their last 24 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of the O's last 8 games with Jimenez as the starting pitcher.

Although Jimenez has pitch marginally better away from Camden Yards this year, the numbers are not pretty. He owns a 6.02 ERA after six trips to hostile mounds in 2017 where the Dominican has given up eight home runs and he’s the main reason the Orioles will come into this July 4 affair as the pretty significant betting underdog.

Taking the rock for the Brewers will be Jimmy Nelson (6-4, 3.43 ERA). The fifth-year righty is in the midst of his best season as a pro and has enjoyed plenty of success at his home park, posting an ERA of 2.64 in nine starts in Milwaukee.

The Brew Crew has now won four of its last five games and extended its lead in the NL Central where Milwaukee is the only team above .500.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had installed the Milwaukee Brewers as -154 moneyline favorites in this particular MLB betting odds matchup. The total, meanwhile, was set early at 10.5 before betting at 5Dimes started to move the line.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.9-3.0 victory for the Brewers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Milwaukee Brewers sport a record of 45-40 heading into this matchup, while the Baltimore Orioles sit at 40-42 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Milwaukee vs Baltimore injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 14-ranked Milwaukee Brewers and the No. 27-rated Baltimore Orioles in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

On offense, it's a battle between the Milwaukee Brewers and its No. 9-rated batting order, averaging 4.86 runs per nine innings, against the No. 22 lineup of the Baltimore Orioles at 4.44 runs per outing.

Defensively, Baltimore features the No. 30-rated defense on the road, allowing 5.98 runs per game. Milwaukee, meanwhile, comes in at No. 11 at home, scoring 5.04 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Orioles were saddled with a loss last time out in Wade Miley's start, as they lost 8-1 against Milwaukee on Monday at Miller Park.

Betting Trends
  • Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
  • Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Milwaukee is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Baltimore at Milwaukee, Wednesday, July 5