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Can the Orioles Win With the League's Worst Starting Pitcher?

Spinning yet another quality start for the Rays, Jacob Faria helped Tampa end its five-game losing streak last night and if it weren’t for Aaron Judge, he’d have a serious shot at rookie of the year honors. He’ll hand the ball over to Alex Cobb (8-6, 3.57 ERA) for today’s contest in which the Rays will have a significant advantage at the starting pitching position.

  • The Rays are 1-7 SU and on the runline in their last 8 games when closing out a series.
  • The Orioles are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of the Rays' last 20 games at home.

So why such a big advantage on the bump? Ubaldo Jimenez, the Orioles’ starter this afternoon, has an ERA over seven and he gave up nine earned runs in just 2.1 innings of work the last time he faced the Rays. Those numbers are, in fact, not good and after allowing four or more runs in his last four starts, there’s no reason to trust Jimenez.

Cobb, on the other hand, has been Steady Eddy for the Rays. He owns a 2.75 ERA in eight starts at home this season and he’s worked seven or more innings in his last three at the Trop. He has had a little trouble with the O’s, though, and his start at Camden Yards at the beginning of the month was one of his worst of the season.

Alas, the Orioles are one of the worst road teams in the American League with an 18-31 record and it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where Cobb is outdueled by Jimenez.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Tampa Bay Rays were listed as -131 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at BetOnline, while oddsmakers set the opening total line around 9.5 earlier at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 5.1-4.3 win for the Orioles on Wednesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

52-49 Tampa Bay battles the Orioles, currently with a 48-52 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Baltimore injuries news.

The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Tampa Bay Rays rated this week at No. 19 and the Baltimore Orioles sitting at No. 22.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Tampa Bay Rays No. 17-ranked offense (4.59 runs per game) against a Baltimore Orioles defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 29 at 5.36 runs allowed per game. The Tampa Bay Rays have been averaging 8.61 hits per game, less than the Baltimore Orioles have managed so far this season (8.98 hits on average).

Defensively, Baltimore features the No. 30-rated defense on the road, allowing 5.73 runs per game. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, comes in at No. 13 at home, scoring 4.78 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Baltimore didn't get the job done in their last match, falling 5-4 to Tampa Bay on Tuesday at Tropicana Field.

Betting Trends
  • Baltimore is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games
  • Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
  • Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Baltimore at Texas, Friday, July 28
Tampa Bay at New York, Thursday, July 27