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Nationals Just Can’t Solve The Orioles

The Washington Nationals own the best offense in baseball, a deep rotation full of game-changers and sit first in the NL East but the team still can’t beat the Baltimore Orioles. The Nats have gone a lowly 7-19 SU against the O’s since the start of the 2012 season, which includes dropping the first two of their current four-game series.

Shark Bites
  • The Orioles are averaging 5.5 runs per game during their current 6-game winning streak.
  • The Orioles are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against the Nationals.
  • The Nationals are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

Stephen Strasburg, who gets the start for the Nats on Wednesday, went 5.2 innings without allowing a run in his last start but it wasn’t the prettiest of outings. The righty threw a season-high 119 pitches but failed to last at least 7.0 innings for the first time this year. However, Washington should be much more concerned about who gets the ball after Strasburg with the Nats bullpen posting a collective 5.47 ERA, the worst in the NL.

The Orioles will counter with Wade Miley, who narrowly avoided disaster in his last start. Miley lasted only 0.2 innings in that start after being hit with two comebackers but he did manage to avoid serious injury. The lefty had posted a stellar 2.32 ERA in his five starts prior to that abbreviated last outing.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Washington Nationals were listed as -180 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at BetOnline, while odds makers set the opening total line around 7.5 earlier at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.9-3.8 win for the Orioles. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Washington Nationals bring a 21-12 record to the battle against the 22-10 Orioles. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs Baltimore injuries news.

This game puts the Washington Nationals, most recently No. 1 in Odds Shark MLB Power Rankings, up against the Baltimore Orioles, who rate a No. 15 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Washington Nationals No. 1 ranked offense (6.12 runs per game) against a Baltimore Orioles defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 6 at 4.03 runs allowed per game. The Washington Nationals have been averaging 10 hits per game, more than the Baltimore Orioles have managed so far this season (8.81 hits on average).

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Washington has the No. 16-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Orioles own the No. 6 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap


Betting Trends
  • Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
  • Washington is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
  • Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
  • Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Next Betting Matchups

Baltimore at Washington, Thursday, May 11th