The Baltimore Orioles snapped a 10-game losing slide last night with an 8-4 victory but they are +150 underdogs in today’s game with the Seattle Mariners coming back at -180. Yusei Kikuchi and Gabriel Ynoa toe the rubber today with the total Sportsbook at 9 runs.
Orioles vs Mariners Game Center
Standout Stats
- Baltimore is 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS over its last 11 games and it ended a 10-game losing slide last night. The Orioles are just 13-27 on the road this year.
- Seattle is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS through its last 11 contests. The Mariners are 16-25 at home in 2019.
- The total has gone OVER in eight of the Orioles’ last 11 with an average combined score of 12.64. Similarly, the total has gone OVER in 11 of the Mariners’ last 14 games with an average combined score of 12.
- Seattle is 7-9 behind Yusei Kikuchi this season, including dropping his last five trips to the mound and he is 3-5 with a 5.15 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. He has seven quality starts as well.
- He is averaging 6.72 K/9, 2.69 BB/9 and 1.90 HR/9 rates in his rookie season.
- Opponents are hitting .290 against Kikuchi but just 35.1 percent of the contact is hard hit while 20.1 percent is soft hit. The Orioles rank 20th in hard-hit percentage vs LHP in June.
- Kikuchi has a 5.67 ERA and a .286 opponent batting average in his seven home starts this year. He has higher K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates compared to his road appearances. He also has much lower hard-hit and higher soft-hit percentages as well.
- Baltimore is 1-4 through Gabriel Ynoa’s five starts in 2019 and he is 0-4 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP, including nine relief appearances. He has one quality start as well.
- He is averaging the lowest K/9 rate in his career while having the highest HR/9 and second-highest BB/9 rates as well.
- Opponents are hitting .278 against Ynoa and 37.9 percent of the batted balls are hard hit and 14.5 percent are soft hit. The Mariners rank seventh in hard-hit percentage vs RHP this month.
- Ynoa has a 6.86 ERA and a .271 opponent batting average over his six road outings, four of which were out of the bullpen. He has higher BB/9 and HR/9 rates and a lower K/9 rate compared to home. Additionally, 50.7 percent of the contact against is hard hit in these away trips to the mound.
- Baltimore’s bullpen has the highest ERA in the majors at 6.21 in June, while Seattle is only slightly better sitting in 27th with a 5.89 ERA.
- The Orioles are 9-21 against left-handed starters this year and are 16th in batting average and 14th in runs scored. In June, Baltimore is 24th in batting average and 17th in runs scored vs LHP.
- The Mariners are 26-31 against right-handed starters this season, sitting 17th in batting average and fifth in runs scored. This month, Seattle ranks 16th in batting average and seventh in runs scored vs RHP.
My Best Bet for Baltimore vs Seattle
OVER 9
Baltimore and Seattle have both been OVER machines recently and there are two shaky starters set to take the hill in today’s game. The Mariners have dropped Kikuchi’s last five trips to the mound and he has an ugly 10.35 ERA over that span and has given up nine homers. Meanwhile, the O’s have dropped four of Ynoa’s five appearances since becoming a starter and he has given up eight home runs and has a 7.15 ERA during day games.
Baltimore is 1-10 in its last 11 games.away The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 14 gameshome Seattle has dropped each of Yusei Kikuchi's last five starts.home
