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Baseball odds preview - Baltimore vs. Boston

Baltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox
July 7, 7:10 PM | GrassFenway Park

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Odds

36-48TEAM RECORD51-35

The Boston Red Sox host Baltimore on Thursday, looking to build on their 51-35 mark against the 36-48 Orioles in MLB betting action at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox will turn to Andrew Miller and his 2-0 record as they look for a win in this one, while the Orioles send Jake Arrieta (9-5) to the hill.

View Baltimore vs Boston Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Red Sox were listed as -160 moneyline favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, while oddsmakers set the opening total around 10 earlier on Monday.

Power Rankings:
According to new MLB Power Rankings here, it's the American League No. 2-ranked Red Sox and the American League No. 12-rated Orioles in this matchup.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Boston's No. 2-rated American League offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game, against a Orioles defense that ranks No. 14 in the American League at 5 in runs allowed per game. The Red Sox have averaged 9.6 hits per game so far, more than Orioles batters have averaged on the year (9 hits per game).

Defensively, Baltimore features the American League's No. 13-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.9 runs per game. Boston, meanwhile, comes in at No. 2 in the American League at home, scoring 5.5 runs per game.

Baltimore lost its last outing, a 13-5 result against the Rangers on July 6. Bettors who backed the Rangers at -172 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (18) sent OVER bettors to the payout window. The Orioles endured a 13-5 loss at the hands of the Rangers on Wednesday, with Jeremy Guthrie throwing 5 innings of 8-hit ball at Rangers Ballpark.

Boston was a 6-4 winner in its last match at home against the Blue Jays. They won as -116 favorites, while the total score of 10 made winners of UNDER bettors. Boston rolled to a 6-4 win against Toronto on Wednesday, as Tim Wakefield and the Red Sox' bats led the team to victory at Fenway Park.

Baltimore Orioles Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Boston are 8-2
After playing Texas are 1-9
After a loss are 3-7

Boston Red Sox Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
Before playing Baltimore are 4-6
After playing Toronto are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

A few Orioles at Red Sox trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games at home
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

Next up:
Baltimore at Boston, Friday, July 8