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Baseball Playoff Betting Strategy

As most seasoned baseball bettors have learned from experience, wagering during the MLB postseason requires a much different strategy than during the regular season.

Over the course of the long 162-game regular season, it is possible to identify betting trends and betting opportunities for a certain club, based on the success of the club’s starters, bullpen strategy and offensive production.

All of those factors can change in the postseason, as teams shift to four-starter pitching rotations, which in turn impacts the dynamics of a club’s bullpen.

Baseball bettors: Do your homework

But the studious baseball bettor can still do homework using a variety of online resources. The OddsShark Pitcher Run Support analysis tracks how many runs a team scores with specific starters on the mound, while comparing those numbers to the hurler’s regular-season ERA.

A club’s historical record against their playoff adversaries is also crucial information to have on hand when wagering on MLB postseason contests.

The OddsShark MLB Team Reports include complete regular-season and postseason game logs for all 30 MLB clubs, while the OddsShark MLB Database enables sports bettors to review the head-to-head track records of opposing clubs in both regular-season and postseason contests.

Watch for Playoff Line Movement

Sports bettors must also closely watch for dramatic betting line movement on MLB postseason games. Playoff games see more action from the public, which can lead to wide and rapid swings in game betting lines.

A useful tool to track this is the Line History feature on the OddsShark baseball game line pages, which show betting line movement from opening to game time at multiple online sportsbooks.

Baseball’s postseason also gives new life to runline betting. With as many as 40 percent of playoff games settled by a single run, compared to just 25 percent during the regular season, real opportunity can exist to boost the value of favorites using runline odds.

Momentum can play a major role

But often it is the momentum behind a team of destiny that can provide a guide for sports bettors wagering on the MLB postseason.

A total of 12 wild-card teams have beaten the odds to reach the World Series since 1995, with six of them emerging as World Series champions, typically at the expense of teams who owned strong records and top futures odds.

Consistent pitching, offensive production, staying healthy and getting hot at the right time can have as much to do with World Series success as any other statistics.

Understanding how these factors carry over or change from the regular season is important in developing a strong MLB playoff betting strategy.