If you want to win at betting you have to do your homework. Or, you can let me do the homework for you and lay out a blueprint for situations where a bet either for or against a team is worth your hard-earned money.
This week’s target is the American League East-leading Baltimore Orioles whose 31 wins at home is the top mark in baseball. Here’s a closer look at how you can get the best bang for your buck with your Orioles wagers based on some trends that have developed over the course of the season.
Hammer that runline at home
With 25 of their 31 home wins coming by two runs or more, the O’s have the most home runline wins in the bigs. Last weekend, they swept a four-game home series over the Tampa Bay Rays. Had you made $100 moneyline wagers on each game you would have profited $281.21. Not bad, but if you had bet the same $100 on the runline in each of those games your profits would be $525, for a difference of $243.79. That’s enough money for a really classy steak dinner for two, or if you’d prefer, a Burger King dinner for 45.
The O’s = money in the last game of a home series
Baltimore has hosted 14 series so far this season and have gone 11-3 in the final game of those series. This compared to a barely average 8-6 record in the Sportsbook game of those series makes the Orioles a team to bet big on when closing out a series. And in case you’re wondering 10 of those 11 wins were by two runs or more. So, if you’re feeling extra greedy, consider a runline bet on the O’s in the final game of a home series.
Stay away when facing the AL West
For some reason, the Orioles haven’t been getting it done vs AL West clubs, posting a 6-10 record. For comparison's sake, they’re 22-13 vs the AL East and 16-6 vs the AL Central. Maybe it’s just a coincidence, but it might be in your best interest to fade them in their upcoming matchups with the Mariners and Angels.
As you can see, with a little bit of digging, you can find some spots to make some serious cash when betting on the Orioles, and with a .692 win % so far this month — on pace for their best month of the season — they don’t appear to be fading any time soon.