Bettors should be locked in for #FadeSale when the Boston Red Sox take on the Cleveland Indians tonight. Chris Sale is starting for the Sox and they’re 5-7 SU in 12 road games when he’s on the mound.
The Red Sox opened as -115 favorites with a total of 8.
Red Sox vs Indians Game Center
STANDOUT STATS
- Chris Sale will get the start vs the Indians and he has been a shell of himself this season. His ERA is 4.41, which is his highest average in a season since he came into MLB (nine years). He owns a 4.61 ERA in 12 road starts and was destroyed by the Yankees in his last outing away from Fenway Park (3.2 IP, 9 H, 8 ER).
- Sale has also been a trainwreck for MLB bettors this season as he is currently the least profitable pitcher in Odd Shark’s database. If you had bet $100 on all of his 24 starts, you’d be down $1115.00.
- In Sale’s career pitching at Progressive Field, it has not been smooth. Last season, he gave up five hits and two earned runs in only 3.2 innings and in 2017, he only lasted three innings and allowed seven hits and six earned runs.
- The Red Sox have sunk in the standings over the last few weeks and are now 8.5 games back of a wildcard spot. Since July 28th, the Red Sox are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games. In that stretch, their pitchers own a 6.11 ERA with their starters giving up 22 home runs in that span.
- Mike Clevinger will be on the mound for the Indians and since the start of July, he’s been lights out. Clevinger sports a 1.83 ERA in seven starts in that stretch with the Indians going 6-1 SU and ATS in those outings. However, in his career, Clevinger owns an 8.03 ERA in seven starts vs the Red Sox.
- The Indians have been one of the hottest teams in baseball since the all-star break. They’re 23-9 SU in 32 games in that span and rank in the top five in both batting average and OPS. But it’s their pitching that has been turning heads. The Indians rank first in ERA (2.92) and second in opponent batting average (.228).
- OVER bettors should take a hard look at the total as the OVER has hit in 13 of the Red Sox last 18 games. It’s also hit in six of the last seven games in this matchup and four of the last five when played at Progressive Field.
My Best Bet for Red Sox vs Indians
Indians Moneyline (+105)
I’m not worried about Chris Sale at all in this game. He has looked shaky all season and the fact that the Red Sox are still the favorite in this matchup blows my mind. Then there are the Indians.
Cleveland has been on fire since before the all-star break and their pitching has been a top-three option in MLB in that span. They’re also 7-2 SU in their last nine games as a home underdog and I have no problem riding the wave of the Indians than banking on a Chris Sale resurgence.
