It’s not very often you find the Houston Astros as an underdog during the regular season, especially at home. The Astros have been an underdog three times previously this season and tonight marks the first time they won’t be favored at home since May 2018. They face the Boston Red Sox, who have ace Chris Sale on the mound, and counter with another lefty in Wade Miley.
The Red Sox opened as -135 favorites with a total of 8.5.
There’s just too much value for the Astros at this price (-135) to not take them as a home underdog on the runline. George Springer is expected to be back in the lineup and while I fully expect Chris Sale to get 9-11 strikeouts, he’s still prone to being hit hard as evidenced by allowing nine homers through 10 starts.
The Astros didn’t just stumble into the best home record. They are a really good team facing a starter whom they’re very familiar with. It’s worth noting that I also like OVER 8.5 strikeouts for Sale at +120.
Chris Sale has allowed 9 home runs in 10 starts this season.away The Astros are 0-3 SU in 3 games as an underdog this season.home The UNDER has hit in 7 of of the Astros’ last 8 games.home