Brad Peacock goes head-to-head with David Price and the potent Red Sox lineup tonight and although Peacock has pretty good numbers this year, you need to look at his strength of schedule. He’s beaten the White Sox, Tigers, Royals, Indians, A’s, Mariners and Rangers. None of those teams hold a candle to the lineup he faces tonight. Boston is a +110 underdog on the road in Houston.
Standout Stats
- The best offense that Brad Peacock has faced is Minnesota, twice. He allowed 10 earned runs and 14 hits in 8.2 innings pitched.
- The Red Sox roster is hitting .290 with a .839 OPS career vs Brad Peacock.
- George Springer, Alex Bregman, Michael Brantley and Carlos Correa are a combined 16 for 68 (.235) vs David Price with three home runs.
- David Price is 5-0 with a 1.10 WHIP in five career starts at Minute Maid Park.
- The Red Sox are 11-4 SU in their last 15 road games while Houston has won 13 of its last 16 games overall, including taking two of three from Boston at Fenway last week.
- The total has gone UNDER in eight of Houston’s last nine games with an average combined score of 6.67. The teams played to seven runs last night. Tonight’s total is set at 9.0.
- The Astros have the No. 2 OPS vs LHP over the last 30 days at .833.
My Best Bet for Red Sox vs Astros
Red Sox F5 Moneyline +100
I debated playing the full game moneyline in this game, and I still don’t hate it, but even though the Red Sox bullpen has decent numbers over the last 30 days, they don’t exactly instill confidence in me as a bettor.
With that, I’m gonna back David Price and the Red Sox No. 2 F5 scoring offense over the past 30 days. I believe Price has an advantage over Brad Peacock and I’m happy to limit the variance in this game to five innings.
