The New York Yankees (89-58) are 9-2 in their last 11 home games against the Boston Red Sox (72-75). The Yankees will try to keep things rolling at home against Boston by cashing in as a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction Thursday night in New York with all eyes on Aaron Judge’s chase for his 61st home run of 2022.

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Red Sox vs Yankees Opening Odds

There wasn’t much early movement on the Red Sox vs Yankees odds as New York opened as a -171 favorite and settled in at New York -175. The total in this AL East rivalry game also remained steady at 8.5 runs. The UNDER is 4-1 in New York’s last five games against Boston.

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Starting Pitchers 

Michael Wacha pitched seven innings and allowed one earned run in Boston’s 2-1 win over the Kansas City Royals last Friday night. When healthy, Wacha has pitched like an ace for the Red Sox this season with an 11-1 record, a 2.61 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP across 20 starts.

Jameson Taillon coughed up four earned runs across five innings in last Saturday’s 4-1 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. Taillon will be looking for better results on Thursday, taking a 13-5 record with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 158 innings pitched into this start against the Red Sox.

Boston Has Been Struggling As An Underdog

The Red Sox had a two-game winning streak snapped in a 5-1 loss on the road against the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday night. Boston fell to 5-8 over its last 13 games with the loss in a stretch made up of a 4-3 record as a favorite and a 1-5 slate as an underdog.

Xander Bogaerts collected two hits in the loss to the Reds on Wednesday. Bogaerts leads the Red Sox in batting average (.317) and on-base percentage (.385) this season and has been hitting well this month with a .386 average in September.

Aaron Judge Enters This Series Scorching-Hot

Aaron Judge didn’t tie Roger Maris’ American League record of 61 home runs in Wednesday’s 14-2 Yankees win over the Pittsburgh Pirates, but he did collect two doubles and two runs in the blowout win. Judge is having a season for the ages, batting .317 with 60 home runs, 125 runs and 128 RBIs.

With Wednesday’s win, New York improved to 7-2 over its last nine games. The club is averaging a whopping 8.22 runs per game over the hot streak that includes two road wins over the Red Sox.

Red Sox: Keys To Victory

Michael Wacha pitched seven shutout innings and struck out nine batters in his one start against the Yankees this season in Boston last month. Replicating that dominant performance isn’t likely, but if Wacha can keep the Yankees in check again, he’ll give Boston a legitimate shot at an upset as a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction.

Yankees: Keys To Victory

Jameson Taillon has allowed three earned runs or more in six of his last nine starts. The Yankees aren’t likely to win a pitching duel on Thursday, so it will be up to Aaron Judge and the offense to lead the way to victory as a Red Sox vs Yankees pick at home.

MLB Computer Pick: Yankees -151 ML

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Shark Bites
  • Boston is 2-5 in its last 7 games vs New York.
  • New York is 8-2 in its last 10 games vs AL teams.
  • The UNDER is 5-1 in Boston’s last 6 road games.
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