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Orioles Have Been Thriving as the Underdog

The Red Sox open up a series with the Orioles on Monday as they cling to a one-game lead in the AL East. The first 20-game winner of the year, Rick Porcello, will take the mound looking to extend his major league lead in wins against Dylan Bundy in Baltimore.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Orioles' last 14 games with a closing total of 9.0 or more.
  • The Orioles are 6-1 on both the moneyline and runline in their last 7 games as underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of the Red Sox' last 12 games on the road with Porcello as the starting pitcher.

Porcello pitched more than well enough in his last start to earn a win as he went eight strong innings, allowing just one run. His offence, however, failed to give him even a single run of support and the New Jersey native was pegged with a tough loss. Coincidentally enough, that last start came against the same Orioles he will face tonight.

Bundy is 9-5 this season with an ERA of 3.88 but should consider himself lucky that both of those metrics are not much worse. The 23-year-old has a WHIP of 1.39 and has received 4.83 runs of support per start. In five appearances against the BoSox this year, Bundy is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and has allowed them to hit .362 off of him.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Baltimore was a 119 moneyline underdogs earlier in the day at BetOnline, based on the starting pitcher matchup. That pairing made odds makers at 5Dimes pick an opening over under number of 9.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.2-4.1 victory for the Orioles. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Baltimore (82-67) will face the 85-64 Red Sox in this tilt. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baltimore vs Boston injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 3-ranked Baltimore Orioles and the No. 1-rated Boston Red Sox in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

On offense, it's a battle between the Baltimore Orioles and its No. 11-rated batting order, averaging 4.7 runs per nine innings, against the No. 1 line up of the Boston Red Sox at 5.57 runs per outing.

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Baltimore has the No. 17-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Red Sox own the No. 13 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Red Sox enjoyed a 5-4 victory at the expense of the Yankees on Sunday, with D Pomeranz throwing 0.2 innings of 0-hit ball at Fenway Park.

Baltimore rolled to a 2-1 win against Tampa Bay on Sunday, as W Miley and the Orioles' bats led the team to victory at Camden Yards.

Betting Trends
  • Boston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 13 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Boston at Baltimore, Tuesday, September 20th