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Low Totals Equaling OVERs at the Trop

The Rays can still earn a split in their series with the Red Sox and will assign Jake Odorizzi to the task of helping them do that from the mound. Drew Pomeranz gets the call for the BoSox and seems to have things figured out after his rough introduction to the Fenway faithful.

  • The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Rays.
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of the Rays' last 12 games at home.
  • The Red Sox are 6-1 against the runline in their last 7 games against teams with losing records.

Pomeranz (10-9, 2.95 ERA) has now won two straight starts for Boston and has given up two or fewer runs in four straight games. The lefty has been better on the road than at home this season and has a 2.76 ERA when pitching at foreign stadiums.

In a season that Tampa has not gotten the starting pitching they are used to, Odorizzi (8-5, 3.63 ERA) has been the only guy keeping a consistent line. The 26-year-old has not posted a loss since July 10 – a game that coincidentally came against the Red Sox – and has allowed only six total earned runs in his last six starts.

Tampa thought they had solved their offensive woes this year by signing sluggers like Corey Dickerson. The plan, however, has not worked out and the Rays once again find themselves way out of the playoff race with one of the worst runs per game averages in the majors.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as MyBookie had set the Tampa Bay Rays as 115 underdogs on the moneyline for this contest. The over under was hovering near 7.5 for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals at Bovada.

Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 5.0-2.7 win for the Red Sox on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Tampa Bay Rays sport a record of 53-72 heading into this matchup, while the Boston Red Sox sit at 71-55 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Boston injuries news.

The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Tampa Bay Rays rated this week at No. 4 and the Boston Red Sox sitting at No. 2.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Tampa Bay Rays No. 22 ranked offense (4.18 runs per game) against a Boston Red Sox defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 17 at 4.51 runs allowed per game. The Tampa Bay Rays have been averaging 8.13 hits per game, less than the Boston Red Sox have managed so far this season (9.95 hits on average).

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Tampa Bay has the No. 13-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Red Sox own the No. 17 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Red Sox got to extra innings, but lost when they got there against Tampa Bay on Wednesday; it was a 4-3 final at Tropicana Field in MLB wagering action.

Betting Trends
  • Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
  • Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • Boston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games
  • Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Boston home to Kansas City, Friday, August 26th
Tampa Bay at Houston, Friday, August 26th