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Can the Blue Jays Produce as Home Dogs on Canada Day?

The Boston Red Sox haven’t been getting the type of consistent offensive production they expected, but they are finding new strengths in a different aspect of the game: the pitching rotation. The BoSox will look to shut down opposing batters once again on Saturday when they tangle with the Toronto Blue Jays north of the border on Canada Day. Sportsbooks opened the Jays as +144 home underdogs with a total of 8.5.

Shark Bites
  • The Blue Jays are 7-1 in Francisco Liriano's last 8 starts.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • The OVER is 6-1 in Liriano's last 7 starts.

Chris Sale and Francisco Liriano are slated to get the ball for the Red Sox and Blue Jays, respectively. Sale (10-3, 2.77 ERA) leads the majors with 155 strikeouts and fanned nine over six innings of work against Minnesota in a triumph on Monday. Sale enjoyed one of his best starts of the season at Toronto on April 20 when he struck out a season-high 13 and allowed only four hits over eight scoreless innings.

Liriano (4-3, 5.46) allowed two runs and six hits in six innings vs Kansas City on Sunday to snap a three-start winless streak. The native of the Dominican Republic also posted a scoreless outing against Boston on April 19 — his only scoreless start of the campaign.

The Red Sox have enjoyed their trips to Canada of late, winning four of their last five games at Rogers Centre.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The moneyline was hovering in the range of 144 for the Toronto Blue Jays in this one over at Bovada. The OVER/UNDER number was sitting near 8.5 at 5Dimes.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.8-2.3 win for the Red Sox. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Toronto Blue Jays sport a record of 37-42 heading into this matchup, while the Boston Red Sox sit at 45-35 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Boston injuries news.

The OddsShark MLB Power Rankings have the Toronto Blue Jays at No. 18 and the Boston Red Sox at No. 9 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Toronto Blue Jays No. 25-rated offense, averaging 4.22 runs per game, against a Boston Red Sox defense that ranks No. 5 at 4.18 in runs allowed per game. The Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 8.25 hits per game so far, less than Boston Red Sox batters have averaged on the year (9.04 hits per game).

Boston brings the No. 5-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Blue Jays's No. 12-ranked defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Red Sox beat Toronto in extra innings, earning a 7-4 victory at Rogers Centre in MLB wagering action.

Betting Trends
  • Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
  • Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
  • Toronto is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Boston at Toronto, Sunday, July 2