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Arrieta to Make Long-Awaited Return to Camden Yards

After a first half that left a lot to be desired, the defending World Series champs got the back end of their schedule started in the right direction with a win and they’ll be favored in Game 2 of their interleague set with the last-place Orioles.

  • The Orioles are 1-7 SU in their last 8 home games when they’ve closed as the underdog.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Cubs’ last 7 road games with Arrieta as their starter.
  • The Orioles are 1-6 SU in games they’ve played against the NL as the underdog.

Taking the rock for their respective clubs will be Wade Miley (4-7, 4.97 ERA) and Jake Arrieta (8-7, 4.35 ERA). The latter of the two is having a good month of July so far with an ERA of 2.13 through two starts and is a definite bounce-back candidate for the second half.

Arrieta’s start tonight will be his first at Camden Yards since he was traded from the Orioles in 2013 and it’s one he could be dreading. In his final full season with the O’s, the righty went 2-5 in Baltimore with an ERA of 7.12 in 10 starts. Not great. After two excellent seasons with the Cubs, Arrieta has regressed to the mean this year and he could be in for an unwanted trip down memory lane this evening.

That said, a strategy that’s been effective in spots this season has been fading the O’s at home when they’re facing a righty starter. Baltimore’s lineup has hit just .253 against right-handed pitching and we all know what Arrieta is capable of.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Chicago Cubs were -139 moneyline favorites in this one earlier in the day at most online sportsbooks including Bovada. The total was 10 at Bet365 for those preferring over under betting.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 6.3-3.6 result in favor of the Orioles. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Baltimore Orioles sport a record of 42-47 heading into this matchup, while the Chicago Cubs sit at 44-45 on the season. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baltimore vs Chicago injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 29 (Baltimore Orioles) and the No. 19 (Chicago Cubs) teams, according to our current MLB Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

On offense, it's a battle between the Baltimore Orioles and its No. 22-rated batting order, averaging 4.49 runs per nine innings, against the No. 19 line up of the Chicago Cubs at 4.58 runs per outing.

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Baltimore has the No. 30-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Cubs own the No. 14 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Chicago looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the Orioles, a 9-8 final on Friday in support of Mike Montgomery at Camden Yards.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games on the road
  • Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
  • Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
  • Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Baltimore, Sunday, July 16