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Quintana Set to Make Debut for Road Favorite Cubs

Unleashing their newest weapon upon the baseball world, the Cubs will be favorites today when Jose Quintana makes his first start for the defending World Series champs as they go for the road sweep of the Orioles. The lefty came at a steep cost for the Northsiders but he should be an excellent complement to an already talented pitching staff.

  • The total has gone UNDER in all 6 of Quintana’s career starts against the Orioles.
  • The Orioles are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games as home underdogs.
  • The Cubs are 11-4 SU in their last 15 road games against the American League.

Although his numbers this season don’t show it, Quintana (3.51 career ERA) is one of the best southpaws in baseball. Until 2017, the Colombian’s ERA had gone down every year and he managed to win 13 games for a bad team in 2016.

That said, the Orioles got to Quintana earlier this season, nailing him for four runs in just five innings of work and multiple guys in the O’s lineup have had a lot of success against him.

However bad he is in his first game, though, there’s a good chance Ubaldo Jimenez (4-4, 6.67 ERA) will be worse. The Dominican hurler has been on a fast and steady decline in his time with the O’s and he’s been on the hook for some awful results this season.

With Chicago’s offense starting to heat up, it’s likely Buck Showalter keeps a close eye on the bullpen this afternoon and I wouldn’t be surprised if Jimenez made an early exit. Baltimore has the worst starting pitching staff in baseball, objectively speaking, and Ubaldo might be the worst of the bunch.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The moneyline was hovering in the range of 131 for the Baltimore Orioles in this one over at Bovada. The OVER/UNDER number was sitting near 10.5 at 5Dimes.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.9-4.8 win for the Orioles. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Baltimore Orioles bring a 42-48 record to the battle against the 45-45 Cubs. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baltimore vs Chicago injuries news.

The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Baltimore Orioles rated this week at No. 29 and the Chicago Cubs sitting at No. 19.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to getting on base, the visiting Chicago Cubs rank No. 26 at 8.16 hits per game. That compares with the Baltimore Orioles No. 11 ranking in that category.

Defensively, Chicago features the No. 12-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.46 runs per game. Baltimore, meanwhile, comes in at No. 19 at home, scoring 4.49 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Chicago looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the Orioles, a 10-3 final on Saturday in support of Jake Arrieta at Camden Yards.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Chi Cubs's last 24 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Atlanta, Monday, July 17
Baltimore home to Texas, Monday, July 17